Baillie Probability Of Bankruptcy

BCAKX
 Fund
  

USD 11.98  0.12  0.99%   

Baillie Gifford China Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Baillie Gifford China Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Baillie Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Baillie balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Baillie Gifford Piotroski F Score and Baillie Gifford Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Baillie Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Baillie Gifford's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Baillie Gifford Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  31%  
Most of Baillie Gifford's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Baillie Gifford China is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Baillie Gifford probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Baillie Gifford odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Baillie Gifford China financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baillie Gifford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Baillie Gifford value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baillie Gifford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Baillie Gifford Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Baillie Gifford China has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 31.0%. This is much higher than that of the Baillie Gifford Funds family and significantly higher than that of the China Region category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Baillie Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Baillie Gifford's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Baillie Gifford could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baillie Gifford by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Baillie Gifford is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Baillie Fundamentals

About Baillie Gifford Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Baillie Gifford China's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Baillie Gifford using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Baillie Gifford China based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The fund will seek to meet its objective by investing in a portfolio of common stocks and other equity securities of issuers located in the Peoples Republic of China . Baillie Gifford is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Baillie Gifford in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Baillie Gifford's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Baillie Gifford options trading.

Pair Trading with Baillie Gifford

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Baillie Gifford position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Baillie Gifford will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Baillie Gifford

+0.74FIQFXFIDELITY CHINA REGION Steady GrowthPairCorr
+0.76MCHFXMATTHEWS CHINA FUND Steady GrowthPairCorr
+0.75FHKTXFIDELITY CHINA REGION Steady GrowthPairCorr
+0.74FHKCXFIDELITY CHINA REGION Steady GrowthPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Baillie Gifford could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Baillie Gifford when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Baillie Gifford - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Baillie Gifford China to buy it.
The correlation of Baillie Gifford is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Baillie Gifford moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Baillie Gifford China moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Baillie Gifford can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Baillie Gifford Piotroski F Score and Baillie Gifford Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Baillie Gifford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Baillie Gifford value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baillie Gifford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.