Armour Z Score

ARR
 Stock
  

USD 7.42  0.03  0.40%   

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Please continue to Armour Residential Piotroski F Score and Armour Residential Valuation analysis.
  
As of 08/18/2022, Return on Invested Capital is likely to grow to 0.002158. Also, Invested Capital is likely to grow to about 13.1 B. Armour Residential Operating Income is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Armour Residential reported last year Operating Income of 15.36 Million. As of 08/18/2022, Preferred Dividends Income Statement Impact is likely to grow to about 13.7 M, while Selling General and Administrative Expense is likely to drop slightly above 5.3 M.

Armour Z Score Analysis

Armour Residential's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2017 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable Turnover60.8725.9929.8834.42
Receivables Turnover4.280.670.60.62
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Armour Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Armour Residential is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Armour Residential's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Armour Residential's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Armour Residential's interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

In accordance with the company's disclosures, Armour Residential R has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Real Estate sector and about the same as REIT—Mortgage (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Armour Residential Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Armour Residential from analyzing Armour Residential's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Armour Residential's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Armour Residential's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Average Assets8.53 B8.43 B13.85 B5.52 B5.19 B7.59 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA181.15 M(105.97 M)(249.91 M)(215.11 M)15.36 M16.58 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD181.15 M(105.97 M)(249.91 M)(215.11 M)15.36 M16.58 M
Earnings before Tax181.15 M(105.97 M)(249.91 M)(215.11 M)15.36 M16.58 M
Average Equity1.27 B1.2 B1.42 B867.01 M1.11 B1.15 B
Enterprise Value7.95 B7.81 B12.46 B4.94 B4.17 B4.28 B
Free Cash Flow110.08 M75.22 M(40.72 M)(257.82 M)11.74 M12.05 M
Invested Capital16.21 B15.28 B24.39 B9.89 B8.87 B13.11 B
Invested Capital Average15.1 B15.01 B25.71 B9.39 B8.56 B13.28 B
Market Capitalization1.08 B867.88 M1.05 B698.44 M879.85 M908.54 M
Tangible Asset Value8.93 B8.46 B13.27 B5.52 B5.28 B7.43 B

Armour Fundamentals

About Armour Residential Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Armour Residential R's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Armour Residential using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Armour Residential R based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Armour Residential operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

Armour Residential Investors Sentiment

The influence of Armour Residential's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Armour. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Armour Residential's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Armour. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Armour can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Armour Residential R. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Armour Residential's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Armour Residential's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Armour Residential's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Armour Residential.

Armour Residential Implied Volatility

    
  68.35  
Armour Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Armour Residential R stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Armour Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Armour Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Armour Residential's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Armour Residential in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Armour Residential's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Armour Residential options trading.
Please continue to Armour Residential Piotroski F Score and Armour Residential Valuation analysis. Note that the Armour Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armour Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Armour Stock analysis

When running Armour Residential price analysis, check to measure Armour Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Armour Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Armour Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Armour Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Armour Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Armour Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Armour Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armour Residential. If investors know Armour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armour Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
862.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.34
Return On Assets
-0.016
Return On Equity
-0.11
The market value of Armour Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armour Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armour Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armour Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armour Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armour Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Armour Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armour Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.