Armour Piotroski F Score

ARR
 Stock
  

USD 7.59  0.04  0.52%   

This module uses fundamental data of Armour Residential to approximate its Piotroski F score. Armour Residential F Score is determined by combining nine binary scores representing 3 distinct fundamental categories of Armour Residential R. These three categories are profitability, efficiency, and funding. Some research analysts and sophisticated value traders use Piotroski F Score to find opportunities outside of the conventional market and financial statement analysis.They believe that some of the new information about Armour Residential financial position does not get reflected in the current market share price suggesting a possibility of arbitrage. Please continue to Armour Residential Altman Z Score, Armour Residential Correlation, Armour Residential Valuation, as well as analyze Armour Residential Alpha and Beta and Armour Residential Hype Analysis.
  
Armour Residential Total Debt is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Armour Residential reported last year Total Debt of 3.95 Billion. As of 08/13/2022, Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to grow to 4.87, while Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities is likely to drop (603.5 M). Armour Residential Quick Ratio is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Armour Residential reported last year Quick Ratio of 0.05. As of 08/13/2022, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.0108, while Calculated Tax Rate is likely to drop (0.0105) .
At this time, it appears that Armour Residential's Piotroski F Score is Strong. Although some professional money managers and academia have recently criticized Piotroski F-Score model, we still consider it an effective method of predicting the state of the financial strength of any organization that is not predisposed to accounting gimmicks and manipulations. Using this score on the criteria to originate an efficient long-term portfolio can help investors filter out the purely speculative stocks or equities playing fundamental games by manipulating their earnings..
8.0
Piotroski F Score - Strong
1
Current Return On AssetsPositiveFocus
2
Change in Return on AssetsIncreasedFocus
3
Cash Flow Return on AssetsPositiveFocus
4
Current Quality of Earnings (accrual)ImprovingFocus
5
Asset Turnover GrowthIncreaseFocus
6
Current Ratio ChangeIncreaseFocus
7
Long Term Debt Over Assets ChangeHigher LeverageFocus
8
Change In Outstending SharesDecreaseFocus
9
Change in Gross MarginIncreaseFocus

Armour Residential Piotroski F Score Drivers

The critical factor to consider when applying the Piotroski F Score to Armour Residential is to make sure Armour is not a subject of accounting manipulations and runs a healthy internal audit department. So, if Armour Residential's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back. Below are the main accounts that are used in the Piotroski F Score model. By analyzing the historical trends of the mains drivers, investors can determine if Armour Residential's financial numbers are properly reported.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Weighted Average Shares67.5 M79.5 M
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Weighted Average Shares Diluted68 M80.3 M
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Net Cash Flow from Operations12 M11.7 M
Fairly Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Total Assets7.4 B5.3 B
Significantly Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Total Liabilities6.3 B4.1 B
Way Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Current Assets710 M542.4 M
Significantly Up
Decreasing
Stable
Current Liabilities7.5 B6.6 B
Fairly Up
Decreasing
Stable
Total DebtB3.9 B
Way Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Return on Average Assets0.00110.001
Significantly Up
Decreasing
Stable
Gross Margin0.60.552
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Asset Turnover0.01080.01
Significantly Up
Decreasing
Stable

Armour Residential F Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to project the various growth rates. Understanding the correlation between Armour Residential's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Armour Residential in a much-optimized way.

About Armour Residential Piotroski F Score

F-Score is one of many stock grading techniques developed by Joseph Piotroski, a professor of accounting at the Stanford University Graduate School of Business. It was published in 2002 under the paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski F Score is based on binary analysis strategy in which stocks are given one point for passing 9 very simple fundamental tests, and zero point otherwise. According to Mr. Piotroski's analysis, his F-Score binary model can help to predict the performance of low price-to-book stocks.

Weighted Average Shares

67.46 Million

Armour Residential Weighted Average Shares is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Armour Residential reported last year Weighted Average Shares of 79.49 Million

Armour Residential Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Armour Residential from analyzing Armour Residential's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Armour Residential's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Armour Residential's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Average Assets8.53 B8.43 B13.85 B5.52 B5.19 B7.59 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA181.15 M(105.97 M)(249.91 M)(215.11 M)15.36 M16.58 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD181.15 M(105.97 M)(249.91 M)(215.11 M)15.36 M16.58 M
Earnings before Tax181.15 M(105.97 M)(249.91 M)(215.11 M)15.36 M16.58 M
Average Equity1.27 B1.2 B1.42 B867.01 M1.11 B1.15 B
Enterprise Value7.95 B7.81 B12.46 B4.94 B4.17 B4.28 B
Free Cash Flow110.08 M75.22 M(40.72 M)(257.82 M)11.74 M12.05 M
Invested Capital16.21 B15.28 B24.39 B9.89 B8.87 B13.11 B
Invested Capital Average15.1 B15.01 B25.71 B9.39 B8.56 B13.28 B
Market Capitalization1.08 B867.88 M1.05 B698.44 M879.85 M908.54 M
Tangible Asset Value8.93 B8.46 B13.27 B5.52 B5.28 B7.43 B

About Armour Residential Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Armour Residential R's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Armour Residential using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Armour Residential R based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. Armour Residential operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Armour Residential without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Armour Residential

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Armour Residential position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Armour Residential will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Armour Residential

0.68ACCAmerican Campus Comm DelistingPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Armour Residential could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Armour Residential when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Armour Residential - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Armour Residential R to buy it.
The correlation of Armour Residential is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Armour Residential moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Armour Residential moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Armour Residential can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Armour Residential Altman Z Score, Armour Residential Correlation, Armour Residential Valuation, as well as analyze Armour Residential Alpha and Beta and Armour Residential Hype Analysis. Note that the Armour Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armour Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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Is Armour Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armour Residential. If investors know Armour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armour Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
870.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.34
Return On Assets
-0.016
Return On Equity
-0.11
The market value of Armour Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armour Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armour Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armour Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armour Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armour Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Armour Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armour Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.