Amazon Probability Of Bankruptcy

AMZN -  USA Stock  

USD 3,415  29.09  0.84%

Amazon Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Amazon Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Amazon Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Amazon balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please continue to Amazon Piotroski F Score and Amazon Altman Z Score analysis.

Amazon Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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Amazon Enterprise Value is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Enterprise Value is estimated at 1.82 Trillion. Free Cash Flow is expected to rise to about 33.5 B this year, although the value of Net Income Per Employee will most likely fall to about 14.3 K.

Amazon Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Amazon's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Enterprise Value738.68 B952.43 B1,685.76 B1,818.84 B
Average Equity37.28 B55.01 B78.79 B85.02 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Amazon Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  2%  
Most of Amazon's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Amazon Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Amazon probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Amazon odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Amazon Inc financial health.
The market value of Amazon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amazon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amazon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amazon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amazon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amazon Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amazon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amazon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amazon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amazon Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Amazon is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Amazon's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Amazon's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Amazon's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Amazon Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.17% lower than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and significantly higher than that of the Internet Retail industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.

Amazon Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Amazon's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Amazon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amazon by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Amazon is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Amazon Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0340.0290.0710.0580.0790.0853
Asset Turnover1.941.711.641.411.431.58
Gross Margin0.330.350.370.40.410.39
Total Debt7.69 B24.74 B33.15 B63.2 B84.39 B91.05 B
Total Liabilities64.12 B103.6 B119.1 B163.19 B227.79 B245.77 B
Current Liabilities43.82 B57.88 B68.39 B87.81 B126.39 B136.36 B
Total Assets83.4 B131.31 B162.65 B225.25 B321.19 B346.55 B
Current Assets45.78 B60.2 B75.1 B96.33 B132.73 B143.21 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations17.2 B18.36 B30.72 B38.51 B66.06 B71.28 B
Weighted Average Shares474 M480 M487 M494 M500 M535.47 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted484 M493 M500 M504 M510 M545.53 M

Amazon Fundamentals

About Amazon Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Amazon Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Amazon using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amazon Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products and subscriptions in North America and internationally. Amazon.com, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington. Amazon operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1335000 people.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Amazon without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Positions Ratings

Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
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Pair Trading with Amazon

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amazon position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amazon will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Amazon Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amazon and Mogu Inc ADR. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Please continue to Amazon Piotroski F Score and Amazon Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Amazon Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amazon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Amazon Stock analysis

When running Amazon Inc price analysis, check to measure Amazon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amazon is operating at the current time. Most of Amazon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amazon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amazon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amazon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Amazon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amazon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amazon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amazon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amazon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amazon Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amazon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amazon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amazon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.