Alcoa Piotroski F Score

AA
 Stock
  

USD 53.53  0.58  1.10%   

This module uses fundamental data of Alcoa Corp to approximate its Piotroski F score. Alcoa Corp F Score is determined by combining nine binary scores representing 3 distinct fundamental categories of Alcoa Corp. These three categories are profitability, efficiency, and funding. Some research analysts and sophisticated value traders use Piotroski F Score to find opportunities outside of the conventional market and financial statement analysis.They believe that some of the new information about Alcoa Corp financial position does not get reflected in the current market share price suggesting a possibility of arbitrage. Please continue to Alcoa Corp Altman Z Score, Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Valuation, as well as analyze Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta and Alcoa Corp Hype Analysis.
  
Alcoa Corp Debt Current is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Debt Current was at 1,000,000. The current year Debt to Equity Ratio is expected to grow to 1.96, whereas Total Debt is forecasted to decline to about 1.7 B. Alcoa Corp Interest Coverage is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 4.67. The current year Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 17.36, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.33.
At this time, it appears that Alcoa Corp's Piotroski F Score is Strong. Although some professional money managers and academia have recently criticized Piotroski F-Score model, we still consider it an effective method of predicting the state of the financial strength of any organization that is not predisposed to accounting gimmicks and manipulations. Using this score on the criteria to originate an efficient long-term portfolio can help investors filter out the purely speculative stocks or equities playing fundamental games by manipulating their earnings..
7.0
Piotroski F Score - Strong
1
Current Return On AssetsPositiveFocus
2
Change in Return on AssetsIncreasedFocus
3
Cash Flow Return on AssetsPositiveFocus
4
Current Quality of Earnings (accrual)ImprovingFocus
5
Asset Turnover GrowthIncreaseFocus
6
Current Ratio ChangeIncreaseFocus
7
Long Term Debt Over Assets ChangeLower LeverageFocus
8
Change In Outstending SharesIncreaseFocus
9
Change in Gross MarginNo ChangeFocus

Alcoa Corp Piotroski F Score Drivers

The critical factor to consider when applying the Piotroski F Score to Alcoa Corp is to make sure Alcoa is not a subject of accounting manipulations and runs a healthy internal audit department. So, if Alcoa Corp's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back. Below are the main accounts that are used in the Piotroski F Score model. By analyzing the historical trends of the mains drivers, investors can determine if Alcoa Corp's financial numbers are properly reported.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Weighted Average Shares205.7 M187.1 M
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Weighted Average Shares Diluted178.6 M190 M
Notably Down
Increasing
Stable
Net Cash Flow from Operations839.9 M920 M
Significantly Down
Increasing
Stable
Total Assets14.7 B15 B
Fairly Down
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Total Liabilities9.4 B8.7 B
Notably Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Assets4.8 BB
Sufficiently Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Liabilities3.3 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Debt1.7 B1.7 B
Slightly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Return on Average Assets0.03130.029
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Gross Margin0.240.247
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Asset Turnover0.840.83
Fairly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile

Alcoa Corp F Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to project the various growth rates. Understanding the correlation between Alcoa Corp's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Alcoa Corp in a much-optimized way.

About Alcoa Corp Piotroski F Score

F-Score is one of many stock grading techniques developed by Joseph Piotroski, a professor of accounting at the Stanford University Graduate School of Business. It was published in 2002 under the paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski F Score is based on binary analysis strategy in which stocks are given one point for passing 9 very simple fundamental tests, and zero point otherwise. According to Mr. Piotroski's analysis, his F-Score binary model can help to predict the performance of low price-to-book stocks.

Operating Margin

8.08

Alcoa Corp Operating Margin is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Operating Margin was at 7.49

Alcoa Corp Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Alcoa Corp from analyzing Alcoa Corp's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Alcoa Corp's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Alcoa Corp's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee14.86 K16.21 K(81.52 K)(13.14 K)35.16 K37.94 K
Revenue Per Employee798.08 K957.36 K756.01 K717.88 K996.07 K860.43 K
Average Assets17.18 B16.48 B15.15 B14.02 B14.65 B14.42 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA1.73 B1.84 B124 M816 M1.92 B2.07 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD1.73 B1.84 B124 M816 M1.92 B2.07 B
Earnings before Tax871 M982 M(710 M)17 M1.06 B1.14 B
Average Equity5.55 B5.31 B4.68 B3.67 B3.89 B4.49 B
Enterprise Value10.25 B5.76 B4.96 B5.09 B11.42 B10.12 B
Free Cash Flow819 M49 M307 M41 M530 M571.84 M
Invested Capital14.24 B13.9 B12.99 B12.96 B11.71 B11.95 B
Invested Capital Average14.73 B14.15 B13.47 B12.5 B11.93 B12.03 B
Market Capitalization9.97 B4.96 B3.99 B4.29 B11.15 B9.68 B
Tangible Asset Value17.45 B16.13 B14.63 B14.86 B15.03 B14.74 B
Working Capital986 M1.41 B967 M1.76 B1.8 B1.5 B

Alcoa Corp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Alcoa Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Alcoa Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Alcoa Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alcoa Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alcoa Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alcoa Corp operates under Aluminum classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12200 people.

Alcoa Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Alcoa Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Alcoa. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Alcoa Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Alcoa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alcoa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alcoa Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Alcoa Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Alcoa Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Alcoa Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Alcoa Corp.

Alcoa Corp Implied Volatility

    
  66.84  
Alcoa Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alcoa Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alcoa Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alcoa Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alcoa Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Alcoa Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Alcoa Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Alcoa Corp options trading.

Pair Trading with Alcoa Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alcoa Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Alcoa Corp

0.89AMRAlpha Metallurgical Upward RallyPairCorr
0.69ARCHArch Resources Upward RallyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alcoa Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alcoa Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alcoa Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alcoa Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Alcoa Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alcoa Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alcoa Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alcoa Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Alcoa Corp Altman Z Score, Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Valuation, as well as analyze Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta and Alcoa Corp Hype Analysis. Note that the Alcoa Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alcoa Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Alcoa Corp price analysis, check to measure Alcoa Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alcoa Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcoa Corp. If investors know Alcoa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alcoa Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.81
Market Capitalization
9.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.29
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.19
The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcoa Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alcoa Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcoa Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.