Federated Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 22.07

QALGX -  USA Fund  

USD 22.07  0.81  3.81%

Federated Mdt's future price is the expected price of Federated Mdt instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Federated Mdt Large performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Please see Federated Mdt Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Federated Mdt Correlation, Federated Mdt Hype Analysis, Federated Mdt Volatility, Federated Mdt History as well as Federated Mdt Performance. Please specify Federated Mdt time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Federated Mdt odds to be computed.
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Federated Mdt Target Price Odds to finish over 22.07

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.07 90 days 22.07  about 72.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Mdt to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.75 (This Federated Mdt Large probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.41 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Federated Mdt will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Federated Mdt Large is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Federated Mdt Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Federated Mdt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Mdt Large. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Mdt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Federated Mdt in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.002.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.002.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.0721.3123.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8621.6923.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federated Mdt. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federated Mdt's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federated Mdt's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Federated Mdt Large.

Federated Mdt Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Mdt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Mdt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Mdt Large, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Mdt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.01
β
Beta against DOW1.41
σ
Overall volatility
1.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Federated Mdt Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Mdt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Mdt Large can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federated Mdt Large generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federated Mdt Large is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 97.99% of its assets in stocks

Federated Mdt Technical Analysis

Federated Mdt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federated Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federated Mdt Large. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federated Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Federated Mdt Predictive Forecast Models

Federated Mdt time-series forecasting models is one of many Federated Mdt's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Federated Mdt's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Federated Mdt Large

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Mdt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federated Mdt Large help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Federated Mdt Alerts

Federated Mdt Alerts and Suggestions

Federated Mdt Large generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federated Mdt Large is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 97.99% of its assets in stocks
Please see Federated Mdt Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Federated Mdt Correlation, Federated Mdt Hype Analysis, Federated Mdt Volatility, Federated Mdt History as well as Federated Mdt Performance. Note that the Federated Mdt Large information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Federated Mdt's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Federated Mutual Fund analysis

When running Federated Mdt Large price analysis, check to measure Federated Mdt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federated Mdt is operating at the current time. Most of Federated Mdt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federated Mdt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federated Mdt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federated Mdt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Mdt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Federated Mdt value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Mdt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.