Oakmark Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 50.43

OAKLX
 Fund
  

USD 50.43  0.89  1.73%   

Oakmark Select's future price is the expected price of Oakmark Select instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oakmark Select performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Please check Oakmark Select Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Select Correlation, Oakmark Select Hype Analysis, Oakmark Select Volatility, Oakmark Select History as well as Oakmark Select Performance. Please specify Oakmark Select time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oakmark Select odds to be computed.
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Oakmark Select Target Price Odds to finish over 50.43

The tendency of Oakmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.43 90 days 50.43  roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakmark Select to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Oakmark Select probability density function shows the probability of Oakmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oakmark Select has a beta of -0.0054. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Oakmark Select are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Oakmark Select is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Oakmark Select is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Oakmark Select Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Oakmark Select

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakmark Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oakmark Select's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oakmark Select in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
50.8452.7754.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
47.2755.9457.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oakmark Select. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oakmark Select's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oakmark Select's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oakmark Select.

Oakmark Select Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakmark Select is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakmark Select's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakmark Select, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakmark Select within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.24
β
Beta against DOW-0.0054
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Oakmark Select Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oakmark Select for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oakmark Select can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oakmark Select generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oakmark Select generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains about 8.17% of its assets in cash

Oakmark Select Technical Analysis

Oakmark Select's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakmark Select. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oakmark Select Predictive Forecast Models

Oakmark Select time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakmark Select's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oakmark Select's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oakmark Select

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oakmark Select for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oakmark Select help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Oakmark Select Alerts

Oakmark Select Alerts and Suggestions

Oakmark Select generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oakmark Select generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains about 8.17% of its assets in cash
Please check Oakmark Select Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Select Correlation, Oakmark Select Hype Analysis, Oakmark Select Volatility, Oakmark Select History as well as Oakmark Select Performance. Note that the Oakmark Select information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oakmark Select's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for Oakmark Mutual Fund analysis

When running Oakmark Select price analysis, check to measure Oakmark Select's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oakmark Select is operating at the current time. Most of Oakmark Select's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oakmark Select's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oakmark Select's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oakmark Select to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oakmark Select's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oakmark Select value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oakmark Select's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.