Genpact Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.90

G
 Stock
  

USD 41.90  1.02  2.38%   

Genpact's future price is the expected price of Genpact instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Genpact performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 2.50, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 4.97.
  
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Genpact's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Genpact. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Genpact based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Genpact over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on Genpact's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 10 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.15, and an ask price of $4.7. The implied volatility as of the 5th of July is 47.6172. View All Genpact options

Closest to current price Genpact long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Genpact Backtesting, Genpact Valuation, Genpact Correlation, Genpact Hype Analysis, Genpact Volatility, Genpact History as well as Genpact Performance. Please specify Genpact time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Genpact odds to be computed.
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Genpact Target Price Odds to finish over 41.90

The tendency of Genpact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41.90 90 days 41.90  about 63.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genpact to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.49 (This Genpact probability density function shows the probability of Genpact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This usually indicates Genpact market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Genpact is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.143, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Genpact Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Genpact

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genpact. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genpact's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Genpact in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
40.9542.9244.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.6349.3951.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
42.6944.6646.63
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0056.4362.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genpact. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genpact's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genpact's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Genpact.

Genpact Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genpact is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genpact's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genpact, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genpact within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.14
β
Beta against DOW1.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Genpact Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genpact for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genpact can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Genpact has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
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Genpact Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genpact Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genpact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genpact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.02%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.42
Short Percent Of Float1.32%
Float Shares170.44M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.29M
Shares Short Prior Month2.68M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.2M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.98%

Genpact Technical Analysis

Genpact's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genpact Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genpact. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genpact Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Genpact Predictive Forecast Models

Genpact time-series forecasting models is one of many Genpact's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Genpact's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Genpact

Checking the ongoing alerts about Genpact for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genpact help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Genpact Alerts

Genpact Alerts and Suggestions

Genpact has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
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Please check Genpact Backtesting, Genpact Valuation, Genpact Correlation, Genpact Hype Analysis, Genpact Volatility, Genpact History as well as Genpact Performance. Note that the Genpact information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Genpact's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Genpact price analysis, check to measure Genpact's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genpact is operating at the current time. Most of Genpact's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genpact's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genpact's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genpact to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Genpact's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genpact. If investors know Genpact will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genpact listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.085
Market Capitalization
7.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0659
Return On Equity
0.21
The market value of Genpact is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genpact that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genpact's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genpact's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genpact's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genpact's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genpact's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Genpact value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genpact's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.