Nasdaq Index Chance of Future Index Price Finishing Over 1

IXIC -  USA Index  

 12,131  390.48  3.33%

Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nasdaq performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Check out Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nasdaq Correlation, Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Nasdaq Volatility, Nasdaq History as well as Nasdaq Performance. Please specify Nasdaq time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Nasdaq odds to be computed.
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Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish over 1

The tendency of Nasdaq Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1.00  in 90 days
 12,131 90 days 1.00  close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasdaq to stay above  1.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nasdaq probability density function shows the probability of Nasdaq Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nasdaq price to stay between  1.00  and its current price of 12131.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.78 .
 Nasdaq Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasdaq. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nasdaq's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nasdaq in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12,12812,13112,134
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11,20311,20613,344
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nasdaq. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nasdaq's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nasdaq's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nasdaq.

Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasdaq, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nasdaq for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nasdaq can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nasdaq generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nasdaq Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nasdaq. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nasdaq Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Nasdaq time-series forecasting models is one of many Nasdaq's index analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nasdaq

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nasdaq for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nasdaq help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Nasdaq Alerts

Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

Nasdaq generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nasdaq Correlation, Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Nasdaq Volatility, Nasdaq History as well as Nasdaq Performance. Note that the Nasdaq information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nasdaq's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Tools for Nasdaq Index

When running Nasdaq price analysis, check to measure Nasdaq's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nasdaq is operating at the current time. Most of Nasdaq's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nasdaq's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nasdaq's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nasdaq to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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