Wells Stock Future Price Prediction

WFC -  USA Stock  

USD 40.76  2.86  7.55%

Wells Fargo stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wells Fargo shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wells Fargo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wells Fargo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wells Fargo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wells Fargo, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wells Fargo based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wells stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wells Fargo over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.14
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.13
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.19
Wall Street Target Price
57.49
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.81
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.061
Using Wells Fargo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo from the perspective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Wells Fargo Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 19.36. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 0.34, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 9.21.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wells Fargo. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wells Fargo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wells because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wells Fargo after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 40.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wells Fargo in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
36.6851.0753.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
37.0039.4141.82
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
41.0060.0870.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (10)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.553.804.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Wells Fargo.

Wells Fargo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wells Fargo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wells Fargo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Wells Fargo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Wells Fargo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wells Fargo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wells Fargo's historical news coverage. Wells Fargo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.82 and 42.64, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 40.76
40.23
After-hype Price
42.64
Upside
Wells Fargo is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Wells Fargo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wells Fargo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wells Fargo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.34  2.39   0.52   0.05  12 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.7640.231.30 
157.24  

Wells Fargo Hype Timeline

On the 25th of June Wells Fargo is traded for 40.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Wells is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 40.23. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 157.24%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -1.3% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 1483.45% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 40.81. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wells Fargo has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 5th of May 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 14th of August 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 12 days.
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wells Fargo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wells Fargo's future price movements. Getting to know how Wells Fargo rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wells Fargo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTNRVertex Energy(1.19) 9 per month 5.43  0.13  11.53 (9.66)  30.84 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.37) 10 per month 0.00  0.0145  1.92 (2.17)  6.81 
KOCoca-Cola 0.68 7 per month 1.77  0.15  1.87 (2.01)  10.05 
BABoeing Company 2.37 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.64 (5.07)  16.31 
CSCOCisco Systems(1.34) 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.73 (3.26)  17.06 
PGProcter Gamble(2.01) 8 per month 0.00  0.05  2.54 (2.30)  8.89 
VZVerizon Communications 0.49 8 per month 1.69  0.11  2.30 (2.42)  7.94 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 1.58 10 per month 2.87  0.11  3.03 (3.96)  11.86 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 1.24 11 per month 1.27  0.16  2.22 (1.98)  7.82 

Wells Fargo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wells price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wells using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wells charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wells Fargo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wells Fargo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wells Fargo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wells Fargo based on analysis of Wells Fargo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wells Fargo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wells Fargo's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents Turnover0.660.330.34
PPandE Turnover11.49.449.21

Story Coverage note for Wells Fargo

The number of cover stories for Wells Fargo depends on current market conditions and Wells Fargo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wells Fargo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wells Fargo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wells Fargo Short Properties

Wells Fargo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wells Fargo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wells Fargo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.90%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Short Percent Of Float0.90%
Float Shares3.78B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day29.1M
Shares Short Prior Month30.37M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month25.72M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.28%
Check out Wells Fargo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.14
Market Capitalization
143.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.061
Return On Assets
0.0115
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wells Fargo value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.