Wendys Stock Future Price Prediction

WEN
 Stock
  

USD 23.11  0.17  0.73%   

The Wendys stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wendys shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wendys' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wendys and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wendys' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Wendys Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Wendys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wendys based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wendys stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wendys over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.319
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.21
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.85
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.98
Wall Street Target Price
23.56
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.23
Using Wendys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Wendys Co from the perspective of Wendys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wendys using Wendys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wendys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wendys' stock price.
Wendys Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is estimated at 3.99. Book Value per Share is expected to rise to 7.04 this year, although the value of Interest Coverage will most likely fall to 2.74.

Wendys Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Wendys' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wendys. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wendys stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Wendys may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wendys and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wendys with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
20.1609
Short Percent
0.0312
Short Ratio
2.4
Shares Short Prior Month
5.8 M
50 Day MA
20.7488
Shares Short
5.1 M

The Wendys Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Wendys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Wendys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wendys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Wendys Co. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wendys' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wendys.

Wendys Implied Volatility

    
  36.66  
Wendys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Wendys Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wendys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wendys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wendys' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wendys. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wendys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wendys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wendys after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wendys contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Wendys Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.29% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Wendys trading at USD23.11, that is roughly USD0.53. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wendys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Wendys Co options at the current volatility level of 36.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wendys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wendys in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
20.9526.3827.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.1523.6325.10
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
23.0026.6631.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (12)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.790.810.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wendys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wendys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wendys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in The Wendys.

Wendys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wendys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wendys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wendys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wendys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wendys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wendys' historical news coverage. Wendys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.85 and 24.81, respectively. We have considered Wendys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 23.11
23.33
After-hype Price
24.81
Upside
Wendys is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Wendys is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wendys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Wendys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wendys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wendys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.20  1.48  0.05    0.16  8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.1123.330.21 
548.15  

Wendys Hype Timeline

On the 9th of December The Wendys is traded for 23.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Wendys is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 23.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 0.21% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Wendys is about 179.51% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.95. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.9 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 200.39 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 720.49 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Wendys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wendys Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wendys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wendys' future price movements. Getting to know how Wendys rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wendys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CSCOCisco Systems 0.15 8 per month 1.33  0.05  3.23 (1.96)  6.46 
PGProcter Gamble(0.12) 8 per month 1.02  0.08  1.83 (2.07)  4.45 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 6 per month 0.94  0.06  1.58 (1.54)  5.18 
BACBank Of America(1.57) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0386)  4.14 (2.97)  10.59 
CATCaterpillar(5.20) 8 per month 1.45  0.15  4.36 (2.70)  9.57 
AXPAmerican Express(1.46) 7 per month 1.78 (0.0087)  3.88 (3.11)  8.22 
DISWalt Disney 0.25 7 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.28 (3.79)  17.60 
MRKMerck Company 1.25 7 per month 0.81  0.25  2.44 (1.43)  7.38 
DDDupont De Nemours(0.51) 8 per month 1.45  0.13  3.91 (2.34)  10.00 

Wendys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wendys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wendys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wendys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wendys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wendys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Wendys Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wendys based on analysis of Wendys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wendys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wendys's related companies.
 2012 2017 2018 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity4.714.756.686.02
Interest Coverage2.122.153.052.74

Story Coverage note for Wendys

The number of cover stories for Wendys depends on current market conditions and Wendys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wendys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wendys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Wendys Short Properties

Wendys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Wendys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Wendys Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wendys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wendys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding224405000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments249438000.00
Check out Wendys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the The Wendys information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wendys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Wendys Stock analysis

When running The Wendys price analysis, check to measure Wendys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wendys is operating at the current time. Most of Wendys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wendys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wendys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wendys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wendys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wendys. If investors know Wendys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wendys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.319
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.152
Return On Assets
0.038
Return On Equity
0.3841
The market value of The Wendys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wendys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wendys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wendys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wendys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wendys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wendys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wendys value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wendys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.