Total Etf Price Prediction Breakdown

VXUS
 Etf
  

USD 46.69  1.46  3.03%   

Total Intl Stock etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Total Intl shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Total Intl's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Total Intl and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Total Intl's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Total Intl Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Total Intl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Total Intl based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Total price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Total Intl over a specific investment horizon.Using Total Intl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Total Intl Stock from the perspective of Total Intl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Total Intl using Total Intl's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Total using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Total Intl's stock price.

Total Intl Implied Volatility

    
  33.11  
Total Intl's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Total Intl Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Total Intl's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Total Intl stock will not fluctuate a lot when Total Intl's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Total Intl. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Total Intl to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Total because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Total Intl after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 46.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Total contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Total Intl Stock will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.07% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Total Intl trading at $46.69, that is roughly $0.97. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Total Intl's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Total Intl Stock options at the current volatility level of 33.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Total Intl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Total Intl in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.5147.6748.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.8546.0047.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.2148.9451.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Total Intl. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Total Intl's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Total Intl's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Total Intl Stock.

Total Intl After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Total Intl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Total Intl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Total Intl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Total Intl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Total Intl's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Total Intl's historical news coverage. Total Intl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.51 and 47.83, respectively. We have considered Total Intl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 46.69
46.67
After-hype Price
47.83
Upside
Total Intl is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Total Intl Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.

Total Intl Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Total Intl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Total Intl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Total Intl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17  1.16   0.02   0.00  1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.6946.670.04 
828.57  

Total Intl Hype Timeline

Total Intl Stock is at this time traded for 46.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Total is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 46.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.04% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Total Intl is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 46.69. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.44. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Also, please take a look at Total Intl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Total Intl Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Total Intl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Total Intl's future price movements. Getting to know how Total Intl rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Total Intl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VEUFTSE All-World Ex-US 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.12 (1.94)  6.03 

Total Intl Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Total price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Total using various technical indicators. When you analyze Total charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Total Intl Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Total Intl stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Total Intl Stock, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Total Intl based on analysis of Total Intl hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Total Intl's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Total Intl's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Total Intl

The number of cover stories for Total Intl depends on current market conditions and Total Intl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Total Intl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Total Intl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Total Intl Short Properties

Total Intl's future price predictability will typically decrease when Total Intl's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Total Intl Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Total Intl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Total Intl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.19M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.81M
Also, please take a look at Total Intl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Total Intl Stock price analysis, check to measure Total Intl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Total Intl is operating at the current time. Most of Total Intl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Total Intl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Total Intl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Total Intl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Total Intl Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Total that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Total Intl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Total Intl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Total Intl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Total Intl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Total Intl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Total Intl value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Total Intl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.