Vertex Stock Future Price Prediction

VTNR
 Stock
  

USD 7.28  0.52  6.67%   

Vertex Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vertex Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vertex Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vertex Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vertex Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vertex Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vertex Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vertex stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vertex Energy over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.27
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.30) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.54
Wall Street Target Price
15.33
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.15
Using Vertex Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vertex Energy from the perspective of Vertex Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vertex Energy using Vertex Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vertex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vertex Energy's stock price.
Vertex Energy Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Vertex Energy reported last year Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets of 69.53. As of 12/04/2022, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.61, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 22.92.

Vertex Energy Implied Volatility

    
  90.25  
Vertex Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vertex Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vertex Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vertex Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vertex Energy's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vertex Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vertex Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vertex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vertex Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vertex Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vertex Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.9510.3515.75
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0019.5025.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.110.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vertex Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vertex Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vertex Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vertex Energy.

Vertex Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vertex Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vertex Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vertex Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vertex Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vertex Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vertex Energy's historical news coverage. Vertex Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.41 and 13.21, respectively. We have considered Vertex Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.28
7.81
After-hype Price
13.21
Upside
Vertex Energy is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vertex Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vertex Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Vertex Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vertex Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vertex Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04  5.40  0.01    0.01  5 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.287.810.13 
3,375  

Vertex Energy Hype Timeline

Vertex Energy is at this time traded for 7.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Vertex is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 7.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.13% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Vertex Energy is about 2160.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.27. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 115.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.06 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vertex Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vertex Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vertex Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Vertex Energy rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vertex Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Vertex Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vertex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vertex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vertex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vertex Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vertex Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vertex Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vertex Energy based on analysis of Vertex Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vertex Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vertex Energy's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables Turnover15.4414.0918.29
PPandE Turnover3.553.984.08

Story Coverage note for Vertex Energy

The number of cover stories for Vertex Energy depends on current market conditions and Vertex Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vertex Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vertex Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vertex Energy Short Properties

Vertex Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vertex Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vertex Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vertex Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vertex Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45509470.00
Cash And Short Term Investments36129941.00
Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Vertex Energy price analysis, check to measure Vertex Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertex Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vertex Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertex Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertex Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertex Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vertex Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vertex Energy. If investors know Vertex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vertex Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.27
Market Capitalization
550.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
14.89
Return On Assets
(0.0208) 
Return On Equity
(0.79) 
The market value of Vertex Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vertex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vertex Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vertex Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vertex Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vertex Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vertex Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vertex Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vertex Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.