ProShares Etf Price Prediction Breakdown


USD 7.12  0.20  2.73%   

ProShares Ultra VIX etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ProShares Ultra shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ProShares Ultra's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ProShares Ultra and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ProShares Ultra's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares Ultra VIX, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ProShares Ultra based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ProShares price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares Ultra over a specific investment horizon.Using ProShares Ultra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares Ultra VIX from the perspective of ProShares Ultra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares Ultra using ProShares Ultra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares Ultra's stock price.

ProShares Ultra Implied Volatility

ProShares Ultra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares Ultra VIX stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares Ultra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares Ultra stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares Ultra's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ProShares Ultra. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares Ultra to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ProShares Ultra after-hype prediction price

  USD 7.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares Ultra VIX will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.88% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With ProShares Ultra trading at USD7.12, that is roughly USD0.42. If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares Ultra's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares Ultra VIX options at the current volatility level of 94.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Ultra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ProShares Ultra in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares Ultra. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares Ultra's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ProShares Ultra's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ProShares Ultra VIX.

ProShares Ultra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ProShares Ultra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares Ultra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares Ultra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ProShares Ultra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ProShares Ultra's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares Ultra's historical news coverage. ProShares Ultra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.96 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered ProShares Ultra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.12
After-hype Price
ProShares Ultra is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Ultra VIX is based on 3 months time horizon.

ProShares Ultra Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Ultra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Ultra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Ultra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53  4.12  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthAny time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility 

ProShares Ultra Hype Timeline

ProShares Ultra VIX is at this time traded for 7.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ProShares anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.53%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to ProShares Ultra is about 206000.0%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 206000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.12. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be any time.
Also, please take a look at ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares Ultra Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares Ultra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares Ultra's future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares Ultra rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares Ultra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
XMLVInvesco SP MidCap 0.00 0 per month 1.15  0.0007  2.30 (1.81)  6.02 
SCRYYSCOR PK 0.00 0 per month 3.78  0.06  8.33 (6.63)  19.45 
EVEREverscale 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21)  8.73 (9.97)  38.93 
IDEverest(0.02) 5 per month 0.00 (0.19)  3.44 (4.89)  15.85 
SVINScheid Vineyards 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.11 (4.72)  17.83 
XTWOBondbloxx ETF Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.62)  0.32 (0.26)  0.75 
GALGalxe 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  4.58 (5.71)  45.44 
KNGFT Cboe Vest 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.0106  2.34 (1.93)  8.37 
SOMLFSECOM LTD 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.73 (1.54)  8.90 
VSGAXVANGUARD SMALL-CAP GROWTH 0.00 0 per month 1.92 (0.0348)  3.46 (3.09)  9.78 

ProShares Ultra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ProShares Ultra Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ProShares Ultra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares Ultra VIX, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares Ultra based on analysis of ProShares Ultra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares Ultra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares Ultra's related companies.

Story Coverage note for ProShares Ultra

The number of cover stories for ProShares Ultra depends on current market conditions and ProShares Ultra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ProShares Ultra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ProShares Ultra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ProShares Ultra Short Properties

ProShares Ultra's future price predictability will typically decrease when ProShares Ultra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ProShares Ultra VIX often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ProShares Ultra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares Ultra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day29.47M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month54.01M
Also, please take a look at ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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The market value of ProShares Ultra VIX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Ultra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Ultra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Ultra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Ultra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Ultra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ProShares Ultra value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Ultra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.