US Bancorp Stock Future Price Prediction

USB -  USA Stock  

USD 49.21  2.93  5.62%

US Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of US Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of US Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of US Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from US Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with US Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at US Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of US Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The US Bancorp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on US Bancorp over a specific investment horizon. Using US Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Bancorp from the perspective of US Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards US Bancorp using US Bancorp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards US Bancorp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of US Bancorp's stock price.

US Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  41.0  
US Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of US Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if US Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that US Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when US Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in US Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in US Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying US Bancorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

US Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 50.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of US Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of US Bancorp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
45.9459.0760.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
49.9551.7953.64
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
55.0066.4074.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (11)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.025.135.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as US Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against US Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, US Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in US Bancorp.

US Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of US Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of US Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

US Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting US Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Bancorp's historical news coverage. US Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.14 and 52.84, respectively. We have considered US Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 49.21
50.99
After-hype Price
52.84
Upside
US Bancorp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

US Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as US Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.18  1.96   0.08    0.21  5 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.2150.990.10 
417.02  

US Bancorp Hype Timeline

On the 27th of May US Bancorp is traded for 49.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. US Bancorp is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 50.99. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on US Bancorp is about 168.67% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 49.0. About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. US Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of March 2022. The firm had 1265:1000 split on the 27th of February 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Also, please take a look at US Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

US Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to US Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how US Bancorp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

US Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine US Bancorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for US Bancorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze US Bancorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About US Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of US Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as US Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of US Bancorp based on analysis of US Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to US Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to US Bancorp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for US Bancorp

The number of cover stories for US Bancorp depends on current market conditions and US Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

US Bancorp Short Properties

US Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when US Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of US Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential US Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.71%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.72
Short Percent Of Float0.71%
Float Shares1.48B
Shares Short Prior Month11.54M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.37M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.19M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.49%
Also, please take a look at US Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the US Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other US Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running US Bancorp price analysis, check to measure US Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of US Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is US Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Bancorp. If investors know US Bancorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of US Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of US Bancorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine US Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.