TuanChe Stock Future Price Prediction

TuanChe Limited stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of TuanChe shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of TuanChe's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TuanChe and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TuanChe's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TuanChe Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of TuanChe based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The TuanChe stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on TuanChe over a specific investment horizon.Using TuanChe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TuanChe Limited from the perspective of TuanChe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in TuanChe. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TuanChe to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TuanChe because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TuanChe after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TuanChe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TuanChe in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.090.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.632.632.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.532.082.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TuanChe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TuanChe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TuanChe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in TuanChe Limited.

TuanChe After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TuanChe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TuanChe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TuanChe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TuanChe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TuanChe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TuanChe's historical news coverage. TuanChe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered TuanChe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.45
0.00
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
TuanChe is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TuanChe Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

TuanChe Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as TuanChe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TuanChe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TuanChe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.43  7.36  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.450.000.00 
0.00  

TuanChe Hype Timeline

As of August 19, 2022 TuanChe Limited is listed for 2.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TuanChe forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.43%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to TuanChe is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on TuanChe is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.45. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TuanChe Limited has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 250.0. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.74. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. TuanChe had 1-4 split on the 22nd of October 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Additionally, take a look at TuanChe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TuanChe Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TuanChe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TuanChe using various technical indicators. When you analyze TuanChe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TuanChe Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TuanChe stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TuanChe Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TuanChe based on analysis of TuanChe hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TuanChe's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TuanChe's related companies.

Story Coverage note for TuanChe

The number of cover stories for TuanChe depends on current market conditions and TuanChe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TuanChe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TuanChe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TuanChe Short Properties

TuanChe's future price predictability will typically decrease when TuanChe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TuanChe Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TuanChe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TuanChe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.02%
Float Shares5.25M
Shares Short Prior Month7.74k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.9k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.84k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Additionally, take a look at TuanChe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the TuanChe Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TuanChe's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for TuanChe Stock analysis

When running TuanChe Limited price analysis, check to measure TuanChe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TuanChe is operating at the current time. Most of TuanChe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TuanChe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TuanChe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TuanChe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is TuanChe's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TuanChe. If investors know TuanChe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TuanChe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of TuanChe Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TuanChe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TuanChe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TuanChe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TuanChe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TuanChe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TuanChe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine TuanChe value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TuanChe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.