Seneca Stock Future Price Prediction

SENEA
 Stock
  

USD 67.09  0.20  0.30%   

Seneca Foods Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Seneca Foods shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Seneca Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Seneca Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Seneca Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Seneca Foods Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Seneca Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Seneca Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Seneca stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Seneca Foods over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.554
Wall Street Target Price
21
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.182
Using Seneca Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seneca Foods Corp from the perspective of Seneca Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Seneca Foods Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 0.22. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 27.43, whereas Interest Coverage is forecasted to decline to 10.17.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Seneca Foods. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Seneca Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Seneca because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Seneca Foods after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 66.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seneca Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Seneca Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
60.3873.8576.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
65.1667.4269.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.9564.5468.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seneca Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seneca Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seneca Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Seneca Foods Corp.

Seneca Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Seneca Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seneca Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seneca Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Seneca Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Seneca Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seneca Foods' historical news coverage. Seneca Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.73 and 69.25, respectively. We have considered Seneca Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 67.09
66.99
After-hype Price
69.25
Upside
Seneca Foods is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seneca Foods Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Seneca Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Seneca Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seneca Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seneca Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.53  2.16   0.11   0.01  1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.0966.990.15 
1,029  

Seneca Foods Hype Timeline

Seneca Foods Corp is at this time traded for 67.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Seneca is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 66.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next newsis expected to be -0.15% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Seneca Foods is about 10800.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 67.1. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.9. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Seneca Foods Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Additionally, take a look at Seneca Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Seneca Foods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Seneca Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seneca Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Seneca Foods rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seneca Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Seneca Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Seneca price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seneca using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seneca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Seneca Foods Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Seneca Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Seneca Foods Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seneca Foods based on analysis of Seneca Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Seneca Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Seneca Foods's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.20.220.23
Interest Coverage29.5612.4710.17

Story Coverage note for Seneca Foods

The number of cover stories for Seneca Foods depends on current market conditions and Seneca Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seneca Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seneca Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Seneca Foods Short Properties

Seneca Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Seneca Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seneca Foods Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seneca Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seneca Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8778000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments10904000.00
Additionally, take a look at Seneca Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Seneca Foods Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Seneca Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Seneca Stock analysis

When running Seneca Foods Corp price analysis, check to measure Seneca Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seneca Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Seneca Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seneca Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seneca Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seneca Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Seneca Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seneca Foods. If investors know Seneca will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seneca Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.554
Market Capitalization
496.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.182
Return On Assets
0.0323
Return On Equity
0.0805
The market value of Seneca Foods Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seneca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seneca Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seneca Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seneca Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seneca Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seneca Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Seneca Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seneca Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.