Origin Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 10.20  0.16  1.54%   

Origin Agritech stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Origin Agritech shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Origin Agritech's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Origin Agritech and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Origin Agritech's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Origin Agritech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Origin Agritech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Origin Agritech based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Origin stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Origin Agritech over a specific investment horizon.
Wall Street Target Price
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Using Origin Agritech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Origin Agritech from the perspective of Origin Agritech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Origin Agritech. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Origin Agritech to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Origin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Origin Agritech after-hype prediction price

  USD 10.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Origin Agritech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Origin Agritech in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Origin Agritech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Origin Agritech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Origin Agritech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Origin Agritech.

Origin Agritech After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Origin Agritech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Origin Agritech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Origin Agritech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Origin Agritech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Origin Agritech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Origin Agritech's historical news coverage. Origin Agritech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.96 and 14.44, respectively. We have considered Origin Agritech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.20
After-hype Price
Origin Agritech is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Origin Agritech is based on 3 months time horizon.

Origin Agritech Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Origin Agritech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Agritech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Origin Agritech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.21  4.24  0.00   0.01  0 Events / Month5 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Origin Agritech Hype Timeline

Origin Agritech is at this time traded for 10.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Origin forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Origin Agritech is about 8313.73%. The volatility of related hype on Origin Agritech is about 8313.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.21. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Origin Agritech was at this time reported as 5.76. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.24. Origin Agritech last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. The entity had 1:10 split on the 10th of July 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Additionally, take a look at Origin Agritech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Origin Agritech Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Origin Agritech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Origin Agritech's future price movements. Getting to know how Origin Agritech rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Origin Agritech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
ABEVAmbev SA ADR 0.11 1 per month 2.57  0.0117  4.45 (3.74)  16.88 
AGROAdecoagro SA(0.05) 4 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.88 (5.81)  13.86 
ALCOAlico Inc 0.38 3 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.57 (3.42)  10.63 
BGSBG Foods(0.81) 7 per month 0.00 (0.27)  4.59 (4.60)  13.02 
BRFSBRF SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21)  5.34 (7.69)  24.08 
BRIDBridgford Foods 0.34 1 per month 0.00 (0.11)  5.02 (5.04)  19.08 
BUDAnheuser Busch Inbev(0.17) 6 per month 1.53  0.13  3.45 (2.77)  8.01 
BYNDBeyond Meat 1.08 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  9.50 (9.13)  28.31 
CAGConAgra Foods(0.30) 4 per month 1.17  0.05  2.54 (1.91)  6.71 
CALMCal-Maine Foods(0.07) 3 per month 2.19  0.0404  4.57 (3.31)  11.16 

Origin Agritech Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Origin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Origin Agritech Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Origin Agritech stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Origin Agritech, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Agritech based on analysis of Origin Agritech hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Origin Agritech's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Origin Agritech's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Origin Agritech

The number of cover stories for Origin Agritech depends on current market conditions and Origin Agritech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Origin Agritech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Origin Agritech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Origin Agritech Short Properties

Origin Agritech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Origin Agritech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Origin Agritech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Origin Agritech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Origin Agritech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5617424.00
Cash And Short Term Investments15351000.00
Additionally, take a look at Origin Agritech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Origin Agritech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Agritech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis

When running Origin Agritech price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Origin Agritech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
62.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Origin Agritech value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.