Roper Stock Future Price Prediction

ROP
 Stock
  

USD 359.64  7.11  1.94%   

Roper Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Roper Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Roper Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Roper Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Roper Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Roper Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Roper Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Roper Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Roper stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Roper Industries over a specific investment horizon.Using Roper Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roper Industries from the perspective of Roper Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Roper Industries using Roper Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Roper using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Roper Industries' stock price.

Roper Industries Implied Volatility

    
  4.4  
Roper Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Roper Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Roper Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Roper Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Roper Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Roper Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Roper Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Roper because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Roper Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 360.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Roper contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Roper Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.28% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Roper Industries trading at $359.64, that is roughly $0.99. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Roper Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Roper Industries options at the current volatility level of 4.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roper Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Roper Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
323.68445.38446.82
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
375.00511.00560.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roper Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roper Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roper Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Roper Industries.

Roper Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Roper Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roper Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Roper Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Roper Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Roper Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roper Industries' historical news coverage. Roper Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 358.96 and 361.82, respectively. We have considered Roper Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 359.64
358.96
Downside
360.39
After-hype Price
361.82
Upside
Roper Industries is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roper Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.

Roper Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Roper Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roper Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roper Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16  1.43  0.75    0.43  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
359.64360.390.21 
30.49  

Roper Industries Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of October Roper Industries is traded for 359.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.75 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.43. Roper is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 360.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 30.49%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.21% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Roper Industries is about 53.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 359.21. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.02 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.02 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.92 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally, take a look at Roper Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Roper Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Roper Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roper Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Roper Industries rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roper Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.51  0.07  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Roper Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Roper price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roper using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roper charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Roper Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Roper Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Roper Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Roper Industries based on analysis of Roper Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Roper Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Roper Industries's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Roper Industries

The number of cover stories for Roper Industries depends on current market conditions and Roper Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roper Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roper Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Roper Industries Short Properties

Roper Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Roper Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Roper Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Roper Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roper Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.23%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.59
Short Percent Of Float1.38%
Float Shares105.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day634.31k
Shares Short Prior Month1.36M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month470.26k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.42%
Additionally, take a look at Roper Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Roper Industries price analysis, check to measure Roper Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roper Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Roper Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roper Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roper Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roper Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Roper Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Roper Industries. If investors know Roper will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Roper Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Roper Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roper that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roper Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roper Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roper Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roper Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roper Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Roper Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roper Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.