Pool Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

POOL
 Stock
  

USD 388.79  13.48  3.59%   

Pool Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Pool Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Pool Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pool Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pool Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pool Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Pool Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pool Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Pool Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pool Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.2
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.62
Wall Street Target Price
414.75
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
7.52
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Using Pool Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pool Corp from the perspective of Pool Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pool Corp using Pool Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pool Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pool Corp's stock price.
Pool Corp Receivables Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Receivables Turnover is estimated at 17.67. Accrued Expenses Turnover is expected to hike to 32.93 this year, although the value of Accounts Payable Turnover will most likely fall to 13.22.

Pool Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Pool Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pool Corp. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pool Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Pool Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pool Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pool Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
449.4
Short Percent
0.11
Short Ratio
6.74
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
369.28
Shares Short
3.3 M
Beta
0.88

Pool Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pool Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Pool Corp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pool Corp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pool Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pool Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pool Corp.

Pool Corp Implied Volatility

    
  22.97  
Pool Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pool Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pool Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pool Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pool Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Pool Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pool Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pool Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pool Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 388.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pool Corp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pool Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.44% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Pool Corp trading at $388.79, that is roughly $5.58. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pool Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pool Corp options at the current volatility level of 22.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pool Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pool Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
349.91419.03421.95
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
360.00518.00570.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
15.1515.1715.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pool Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pool Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pool Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pool Corp.

Pool Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pool Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pool Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Pool Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pool Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pool Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pool Corp's historical news coverage. Pool Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 385.87 and 391.71, respectively. We have considered Pool Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 388.79
385.87
Downside
388.79
After-hype Price
391.71
Upside
Pool Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pool Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pool Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Pool Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pool Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pool Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  2.90  0.00   0.00  6 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
388.79388.790.00 
15.28  

Pool Corp Hype Timeline

Pool Corp is at this time traded for 388.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pool Corp estimated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 15.28%. The immediate return on the next newsis estimated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Pool Corp is about 1231.13%. The volatility of related hype on Pool Corp is about 1231.13% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 388.79. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Pool Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of August 2022. The firm had 3:2 split on the 13th of September 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Please check Pool Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pool Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pool Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pool Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Pool Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pool Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NWLNewell Brands 0.25 7 per month 0.00 (0.0479)  4.17 (4.20)  12.71 
TTCToro Company(0.20) 15 per month 2.01  0.08  2.71 (2.69)  11.18 
WHRWhirlpool Corp(0.17) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.55 (4.49)  11.54 
BF-BBrown Forman(1.18) 9 per month 1.54  0.11  2.89 (1.57)  9.63 
NFLXNetflix(1.14) 8 per month 3.14  0.14  7.35 (5.16)  14.89 
NKENike Inc 0.11 9 per month 2.68  0.0171  4.38 (3.74)  11.72 
NUSNu Skin Enterprises 0.65 7 per month 2.23  0.001  3.28 (3.59)  10.54 
PENNPenn Entertainment 0.50 6 per month 4.20  0.08  6.38 (5.38)  19.22 
PEPPepsico(0.94) 9 per month 1.49 (0.0087)  1.89 (1.78)  8.14 

Pool Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pool Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pool Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pool Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pool Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pool Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pool Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pool Corp based on analysis of Pool Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pool Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pool Corp's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.220.631.091.14
Interest Coverage14.3537.5696.4104.01

Story Coverage note for Pool Corp

The number of cover stories for Pool Corp depends on current market conditions and Pool Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pool Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pool Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pool Corp Short Properties

Pool Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pool Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pool Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pool Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pool Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date13th of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out7.65%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.40
Short Percent Of Float10.22%
Float Shares38.37M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day393.31k
Shares Short Prior Month2.64M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month464.73k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please check Pool Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Pool Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pool Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

Complementary Tools for Pool Corp Stock analysis

When running Pool Corp price analysis, check to measure Pool Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pool Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Pool Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pool Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pool Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pool Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Is Pool Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pool Corp. If investors know Pool Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pool Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.2
Market Capitalization
15.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Return On Assets
0.21
Return On Equity
0.74
The market value of Pool Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pool Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pool Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pool Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pool Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pool Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pool Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pool Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pool Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.