Park City Stock Future Price Prediction

PCYG
 Stock
  

USD 4.45  0.05  1.14%   

Park City Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Park City shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Park City's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Park City and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Park City's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Park City Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Park City Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Park City based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Park City stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Park City over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.65
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.18
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.29
Wall Street Target Price
9.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.05
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.24
Using Park City hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park City Group from the perspective of Park City response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park City using Park City's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park City using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park City's stock price.
Park City Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 0.0335. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 2.69, whereas Total Assets Per Share are forecasted to decline to 2.13.

Park City Implied Volatility

    
  28.5  
Park City's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park City Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park City's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park City stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park City's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Park City. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Park City to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Park City because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Park City after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Park City's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Park City in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.785.399.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.234.858.46
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.009.009.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.304.514.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Park City. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Park City's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Park City's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Park City Group.

Park City After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Park City at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park City or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Park City, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Park City Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Park City's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park City's historical news coverage. Park City's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.82 and 8.04, respectively. We have considered Park City's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.45
4.43
After-hype Price
8.04
Upside
Park City is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park City Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Park City Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Park City is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park City backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park City, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25  3.61   0.02   0.69  10 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.454.430.45 
4,512  

Park City Hype Timeline

Park City Group is at this time traded for 4.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.69. Park City is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 4.43. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.45% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Park City is about 131.75% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.14. About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Park City Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 11th of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Please check Park City Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Park City Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Park City's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park City's future price movements. Getting to know how Park City rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park City may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Park City Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Park City price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park City using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park City charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Park City Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Park City stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Park City Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park City based on analysis of Park City hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Park City's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Park City's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.03350.0344
Interest Coverage1.19 K1.28 K

Story Coverage note for Park City

The number of cover stories for Park City depends on current market conditions and Park City's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park City is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park City's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Park City Short Properties

Park City's future price predictability will typically decrease when Park City's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park City Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park City's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park City's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.91%
Short Percent Of Float6.41%
Float Shares11.96M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day32.87k
Shares Short Prior Month659.62k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month48.56k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2022
Please check Park City Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Park City Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Park City's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Park City Stock analysis

When running Park City Group price analysis, check to measure Park City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park City is operating at the current time. Most of Park City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Park City's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park City. If investors know Park City will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.65
Market Capitalization
82.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.24
Return On Assets
0.0526
Return On Equity
0.0929
The market value of Park City Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park City that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Park City value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.