Omnicom Stock Future Price Prediction

OMC
 Stock
  

USD 63.57  0.48  0.76%   

Omnicom Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Omnicom shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Omnicom's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Omnicom and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Omnicom's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Omnicom Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Omnicom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Omnicom based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Omnicom stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Omnicom over a specific investment horizon.Using Omnicom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Omnicom Group from the perspective of Omnicom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Omnicom using Omnicom's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Omnicom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Omnicom's stock price.

Omnicom Implied Volatility

    
  32.71  
Omnicom's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Omnicom Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Omnicom's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Omnicom stock will not fluctuate a lot when Omnicom's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Omnicom. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Omnicom to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Omnicom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Omnicom after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 63.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Omnicom contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Omnicom Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.04% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Omnicom trading at $63.57, that is roughly $1.3. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Omnicom's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Omnicom Group options at the current volatility level of 32.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omnicom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Omnicom in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
57.2572.5274.20
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
66.0079.3394.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Omnicom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Omnicom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Omnicom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Omnicom Group.

Omnicom After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Omnicom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Omnicom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Omnicom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Omnicom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Omnicom's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Omnicom's historical news coverage. Omnicom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.92 and 65.28, respectively. We have considered Omnicom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 63.57
63.60
After-hype Price
65.28
Upside
Omnicom is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Omnicom Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Omnicom Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Omnicom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Omnicom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Omnicom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  1.67  0.00   0.00  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
63.5763.600.02 
249.25  

Omnicom Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of October Omnicom Group is traded for 63.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Omnicom is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 63.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.02% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Omnicom is about 62.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 63.57. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Omnicom was now reported as 13.83. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.9. Omnicom Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of September 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of June 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check Omnicom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Omnicom Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Omnicom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Omnicom's future price movements. Getting to know how Omnicom rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Omnicom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.41  0.08  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Omnicom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Omnicom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Omnicom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Omnicom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Omnicom Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Omnicom stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Omnicom Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Omnicom based on analysis of Omnicom hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Omnicom's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Omnicom's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Omnicom

The number of cover stories for Omnicom depends on current market conditions and Omnicom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Omnicom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Omnicom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Omnicom Short Properties

Omnicom's future price predictability will typically decrease when Omnicom's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Omnicom Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Omnicom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omnicom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date20th of September 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out5.04%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.80
Short Percent Of Float5.80%
Float Shares202.8M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.58M
Shares Short Prior Month9.89M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.3M
Date Short Interest31st of August 2022
Please check Omnicom Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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Is Omnicom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omnicom. If investors know Omnicom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omnicom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Omnicom Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omnicom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omnicom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omnicom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omnicom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omnicom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omnicom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Omnicom value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omnicom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.