Oasis Stock Future Price Prediction

OAS
 Stock
  

USD 145.53  1.01  0.69%   

Oasis Petroleum stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Oasis Petroleum shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Oasis Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Oasis Petroleum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Oasis Petroleum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oasis Petroleum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Oasis Petroleum based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Oasis stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Oasis Petroleum over a specific investment horizon.Using Oasis Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oasis Petroleum from the perspective of Oasis Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oasis Petroleum using Oasis Petroleum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oasis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oasis Petroleum's stock price.

Oasis Petroleum Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Oasis Petroleum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oasis Petroleum stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oasis Petroleum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oasis Petroleum stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oasis Petroleum's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Oasis Petroleum. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oasis Petroleum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oasis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Oasis Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 145.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oasis Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oasis Petroleum in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
133.91136.59160.08
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
107.00152.14174.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oasis Petroleum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oasis Petroleum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oasis Petroleum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oasis Petroleum.

Oasis Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oasis Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oasis Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oasis Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oasis Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oasis Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oasis Petroleum's historical news coverage. Oasis Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 142.85 and 148.21, respectively. We have considered Oasis Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 145.53
142.85
Downside
145.53
After-hype Price
148.21
Upside
Oasis Petroleum is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oasis Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oasis Petroleum Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Oasis Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oasis Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oasis Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.92  2.68  0.00    2.47  0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
145.53145.530.00 
0.00  

Oasis Petroleum Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of October Oasis Petroleum is traded for 145.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -2.47. Oasis forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.92%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Oasis Petroleum is about 100.0%. The volatility of related hype on Oasis Petroleum is about 100.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 143.06. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Oasis Petroleum was now reported as 45.44. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.38. Oasis Petroleum recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
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Oasis Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oasis Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Oasis Petroleum rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oasis Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.51  0.07  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Oasis Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oasis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oasis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oasis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Oasis Petroleum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Oasis Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oasis Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oasis Petroleum based on analysis of Oasis Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oasis Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oasis Petroleum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Oasis Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Oasis Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Oasis Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oasis Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oasis Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Oasis Petroleum Short Properties

Oasis Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oasis Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oasis Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oasis Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oasis Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.72%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.62
Short Percent Of Float8.66%
Float Shares18.22M
Shares Short Prior Month1.39M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day782.65k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month465.31k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.52%
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Oasis Petroleum information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oasis Petroleum's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Other Tools for Oasis Stock

When running Oasis Petroleum price analysis, check to measure Oasis Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oasis Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Oasis Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oasis Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oasis Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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