Natural Stock Future Price Prediction

NHTC -  USA Stock  

USD 6.75  0.03  0.45%

Natural Hlth Trd stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Natural Hlth shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Natural Hlth's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Natural Hlth and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Natural Hlth's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Natural Hlth Trd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Natural Hlth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Natural Hlth based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Natural stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Natural Hlth over a specific investment horizon. Using Natural Hlth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natural Hlth Trd from the perspective of Natural Hlth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Natural Hlth using Natural Hlth's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Natural using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Natural Hlth's stock price.

Natural Hlth Implied Volatility

    
  5.27  
Natural Hlth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natural Hlth Trd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natural Hlth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natural Hlth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natural Hlth's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Natural Hlth. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Natural Hlth to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Natural because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Natural Hlth after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Hlth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natural Hlth in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.506.818.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.256.567.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.666.887.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natural Hlth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natural Hlth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natural Hlth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natural Hlth Trd.

Natural Hlth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Natural Hlth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Natural Hlth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Natural Hlth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Natural Hlth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Natural Hlth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Natural Hlth's historical news coverage. Natural Hlth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.41 and 8.03, respectively. We have considered Natural Hlth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 6.75
6.72
After-hype Price
8.03
Upside
Natural Hlth is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natural Hlth Trd is based on 3 months time horizon.

Natural Hlth Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Natural Hlth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Hlth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Natural Hlth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.02  1.32   0.01    0.05  1 Events / Month4 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.756.720.00 
258.82  

Natural Hlth Hype Timeline

Natural Hlth Trd is now traded for 6.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Natural anticipated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Natural Hlth is about 56.12%. The volatility of related hype on Natural Hlth is about 56.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.7. About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Natural Hlth Trd next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 16th of May 2022. The entity had 1:100 split on the 19th of March 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be very soon.
Additionally, see Natural Hlth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Natural Hlth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Natural Hlth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Natural Hlth's future price movements. Getting to know how Natural Hlth rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Natural Hlth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Natural Hlth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Natural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Natural Hlth Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Natural Hlth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Natural Hlth Trd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Hlth based on analysis of Natural Hlth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Natural Hlth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Natural Hlth's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Natural Hlth

The number of cover stories for Natural Hlth depends on current market conditions and Natural Hlth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natural Hlth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natural Hlth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Natural Hlth

Natural Hlth Short Properties

Natural Hlth's future price predictability will typically decrease when Natural Hlth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Natural Hlth Trd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Natural Hlth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Hlth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.32%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Short Percent Of Float0.53%
Float Shares5.92M
Shares Short Prior Month41.43k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day29.28k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month17.84k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield11.63%
Additionally, see Natural Hlth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Natural Hlth Trd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natural Hlth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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Is Natural Hlth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Hlth. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Hlth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Natural Hlth Trd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Hlth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Hlth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Hlth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Hlth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Hlth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natural Hlth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Hlth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.