Mogu Inc Stock Future Price Prediction

MOGU -  USA Stock  

USD 2.15  0.05  2.27%

Mogu Inc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mogu Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mogu Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mogu Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mogu Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mogu Inc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Mogu Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mogu Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mogu Inc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mogu Inc over a specific investment horizon. Using Mogu Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mogu Inc ADR from the perspective of Mogu Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Mogu Inc Tangible Assets Book Value per Share are comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Mogu Inc reported Tangible Assets Book Value per Share of 125.98 in 2021
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mogu Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mogu Inc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mogu Inc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mogu Inc after-hype prediction price

  $ 3.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mogu Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mogu Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
1 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mogu Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mogu Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mogu Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mogu Inc ADR.

Mogu Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mogu Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mogu Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Mogu Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Mogu Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mogu Inc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mogu Inc's historical news coverage. Mogu Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 12.08, respectively. We have considered Mogu Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.15
After-hype Price
Mogu Inc is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mogu Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mogu Inc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Mogu Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mogu Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mogu Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.43  8.68  1.47    0.88  1 Events / Month3 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Mogu Inc Hype Timeline

Mogu Inc ADR is now traded for 2.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.47 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.88. Mogu Inc is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 3.2460489510489507 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 50.98% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Mogu Inc is about 424.66% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.27. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to gain to 0.33 in 2022. Average Equity is likely to gain to about 2 B in 2022The company has a current ratio of 2.15, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mogu Inc until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mogu Inc's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mogu Inc ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mogu Inc to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mogu Inc's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be very soon.
Additionally, see Mogu Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mogu Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mogu Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mogu Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how Mogu Inc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mogu Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Mogu Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mogu Inc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mogu Inc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mogu Inc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mogu Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mogu Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mogu Inc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mogu Inc based on analysis of Mogu Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mogu Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mogu Inc's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mogu Inc

The number of cover stories for Mogu Inc depends on current market conditions and Mogu Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mogu Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mogu Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Mogu Inc Short Properties

Mogu Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mogu Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mogu Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mogu Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mogu Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.08%
Float Shares3.02M
Shares Short Prior Month7.99k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day27.96k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month21.33k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Additionally, see Mogu Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Mogu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mogu Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Mogu Inc Stock analysis

When running Mogu Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Mogu Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mogu Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Mogu Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mogu Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mogu Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mogu Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mogu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogu Inc. If investors know Mogu Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mogu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogu Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mogu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.