Lpl Financial Stock Future Price Prediction

LPLA
 Stock
  

USD 227.58  3.86  1.73%   

Lpl Financial Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lpl Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lpl Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lpl Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lpl Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lpl Financial Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Lpl Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lpl Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lpl Financial stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lpl Financial over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.35
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.66
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.83
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.82
Wall Street Target Price
246.11
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.97
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.074
Using Lpl Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lpl Financial Holdings from the perspective of Lpl Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lpl Financial using Lpl Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lpl Financial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lpl Financial's stock price.
Lpl Financial Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 1.68. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 31.59, whereas Interest Coverage is forecasted to decline to 5.82.

Lpl Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Lpl Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lpl Financial. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lpl Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lpl Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lpl Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lpl Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
180.19
Short Percent
0.0321
Short Ratio
4.25
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
195.02
Shares Short
2.3 M
Beta
0.96

Lpl Financial Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lpl Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Lpl Financial. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lpl Financial can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lpl Financial Holdings. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lpl Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lpl Financial.

Lpl Financial Implied Volatility

    
  35.4  
Lpl Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lpl Financial Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lpl Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lpl Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lpl Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lpl Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lpl Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lpl Financial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lpl Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 228.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lpl Financial contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lpl Financial Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.21% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Lpl Financial trading at $227.58, that is roughly $5.04. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lpl Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lpl Financial Holdings options at the current volatility level of 35.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lpl Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lpl Financial in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
225.07227.65230.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
224.52227.09229.67
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
184.00202.57228.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.866.937.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lpl Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lpl Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lpl Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lpl Financial Holdings.

Lpl Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lpl Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lpl Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Lpl Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lpl Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lpl Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lpl Financial's historical news coverage. Lpl Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 226.34 and 231.50, respectively. We have considered Lpl Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 227.58
226.34
Downside
228.92
After-hype Price
231.50
Upside
Lpl Financial is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lpl Financial Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lpl Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Lpl Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lpl Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lpl Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.43  2.55  1.17    0.10  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
227.58228.920.59 
93.41  

Lpl Financial Hype Timeline

Lpl Financial Holdings is now traded for 227.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Lpl Financial is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 228.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 93.41%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.59% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Lpl Financial is about 1114.75% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 227.48. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.08 B. Net Income was 463.99 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.75 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Lpl Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lpl Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lpl Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lpl Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Lpl Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lpl Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DISWalt Disney(1.36) 11 per month 1.81  0.06  3.98 (3.76)  7.34 
WMTWalmart(0.96) 9 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.50 (3.77)  11.77 
JNJJohnson Johnson 0.64 8 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.75 (2.01)  5.07 
CVXChevron Corp 1.63 10 per month 2.34 (0.0222)  3.06 (4.35)  11.62 
BACBank Of America 0.35 4 per month 1.64 (0.0146)  3.38 (3.07)  9.79 
AAAlcoa Corp 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  5.50 (5.50)  17.64 
CATCaterpillar(2.36) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0382)  3.82 (4.35)  11.37 
PGProcter Gamble 0.17 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.29 (2.67)  9.21 

Lpl Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lpl Financial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lpl Financial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lpl Financial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lpl Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lpl Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lpl Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lpl Financial based on analysis of Lpl Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lpl Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lpl Financial's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.451.871.681.72
Interest Coverage6.736.926.765.82

Story Coverage note for Lpl Financial

The number of cover stories for Lpl Financial depends on current market conditions and Lpl Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lpl Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lpl Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lpl Financial Short Properties

Lpl Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lpl Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lpl Financial Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lpl Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lpl Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.05%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.00
Short Percent Of Float3.42%
Float Shares79.31M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day966.51k
Shares Short Prior Month2.62M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month790.6k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.45%
Additionally, see Lpl Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lpl Financial Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lpl Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Lpl Financial Holdings price analysis, check to measure Lpl Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lpl Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Lpl Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lpl Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lpl Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lpl Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lpl Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lpl Financial. If investors know Lpl Financial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lpl Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.35
Market Capitalization
18.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.074
Return On Assets
0.0699
Return On Equity
0.3
The market value of Lpl Financial Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lpl Financial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lpl Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lpl Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lpl Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lpl Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lpl Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lpl Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lpl Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.