Jd Inc Stock Future Price Prediction

JD
 Stock
  

USD 50.30  0.95  1.85%   

Jd Inc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Jd Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Jd Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jd Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jd Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jd Inc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Jd Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Jd Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Jd Inc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Jd Inc over a specific investment horizon.Using Jd Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jd Inc ADR from the perspective of Jd Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jd Inc using Jd Inc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jd Inc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jd Inc's stock price.

Jd Inc Implied Volatility

    
  63.48  
Jd Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jd Inc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jd Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jd Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jd Inc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Jd Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jd Inc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jd Inc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Jd Inc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 49.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jd Inc contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jd Inc ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.97% per day over the life of the 2022-10-07 option contract. With Jd Inc trading at $50.3, that is roughly $2.0. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jd Inc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jd Inc ADR options at the current volatility level of 63.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jd Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jd Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
45.2761.9564.67
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
62.0099.92122.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jd Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jd Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jd Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jd Inc ADR.

Jd Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jd Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jd Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jd Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jd Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jd Inc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jd Inc's historical news coverage. Jd Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.23 and 52.67, respectively. We have considered Jd Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 50.30
49.95
After-hype Price
52.67
Upside
Jd Inc is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jd Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jd Inc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Jd Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jd Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jd Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36  2.74   0.36    0.96  3 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.3049.950.70 
274.00  

Jd Inc Hype Timeline

As of October 3, 2022 Jd Inc ADR is listed for 50.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.96. Jd Inc is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 49.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.7% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Jd Inc is about 102.24% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 49.34. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.42. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jd Inc ADR last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Please see Jd Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Jd Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jd Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jd Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how Jd Inc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jd Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.51  0.07  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Jd Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jd Inc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jd Inc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jd Inc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Jd Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Jd Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jd Inc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jd Inc based on analysis of Jd Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jd Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jd Inc's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Jd Inc

The number of cover stories for Jd Inc depends on current market conditions and Jd Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jd Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jd Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Jd Inc Short Properties

Jd Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jd Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jd Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jd Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jd Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.97%
Float Shares1.16B
Shares Short Prior Month21.52M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.78M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.67M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please see Jd Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Jd Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jd Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Jd Inc Stock analysis

When running Jd Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Jd Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jd Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Jd Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jd Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jd Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jd Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Is Jd Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jd Inc. If investors know Jd Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jd Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Jd Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jd Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jd Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jd Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jd Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jd Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jd Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jd Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jd Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.