Hershey Stock Future Price Prediction

HSY -  USA Stock  

USD 206.57  1.45  0.71%

Hershey Foods Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hershey Foods shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hershey Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hershey Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hershey Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hershey Foods Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Hershey Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hershey Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hershey stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hershey Foods over a specific investment horizon. Using Hershey Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hershey Foods Corp from the perspective of Hershey Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hershey Foods using Hershey Foods' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hershey using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hershey Foods' stock price.
Hershey Foods Current Ratio is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Hershey Foods reported Current Ratio of 0.90 in 2021. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to rise to 3.08 in 2022, whereas Accrued Expenses Turnover is likely to drop 9.62 in 2022.

Hershey Foods Implied Volatility

    
  99.98  
Hershey Foods' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hershey Foods Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hershey Foods' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hershey Foods stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hershey Foods' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hershey Foods. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hershey Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hershey because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hershey Foods after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 205.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hershey Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hershey Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
200.65202.38225.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
211.46213.19214.92
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
181.00193.50220.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.927.097.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hershey Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hershey Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hershey Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hershey Foods Corp.

Hershey Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hershey Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hershey Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Hershey Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hershey Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hershey Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hershey Foods' historical news coverage. Hershey Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 203.36 and 206.82, respectively. We have considered Hershey Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 206.57
203.36
Downside
205.09
After-hype Price
206.82
Upside
Hershey Foods is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hershey Foods Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hershey Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Hershey Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hershey Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hershey Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04  1.75   0.04    0.05  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
206.57205.090.01 
175.00  

Hershey Foods Hype Timeline

On the 20th of May Hershey Foods Corp is traded for 206.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Hershey is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 205.09. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 175.0%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.01% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Hershey Foods is about 151.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 206.52. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.91. Hershey Foods Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.89. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 19th of May 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of June 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please check Hershey Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hershey Foods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hershey Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hershey Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Hershey Foods rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hershey Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KKellogg Company 0.74 6 per month 2.00  0.16  2.47 (2.15)  9.17 
BIGBig Lots(3.14) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0294)  7.81 (6.25)  27.19 
BTIBritish American Tobacco(0.91) 8 per month 0.00  0.0445  3.27 (3.17)  8.14 
BUDAnheuser-Busch Inbev SA(0.09) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0064)  3.89 (4.18)  12.84 
CAGConagra Brands 0.25 9 per month 0.00  0.0148  2.37 (2.76)  13.30 
CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas(0.82) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0448)  3.26 (3.69)  8.46 
CHDChurch Dwight(1.71) 10 per month 0.00  0.0243  2.28 (2.83)  10.72 
CLXClorox Company(3.54) 10 per month 0.00  0.07  3.03 (3.28)  10.79 

Hershey Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hershey price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hershey using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hershey charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hershey Foods Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hershey Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hershey Foods Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hershey Foods based on analysis of Hershey Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hershey Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hershey Foods's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.031.831.65
Interest Coverage11.0711.9310.74

Story Coverage note for Hershey Foods

The number of cover stories for Hershey Foods depends on current market conditions and Hershey Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hershey Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hershey Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hershey Foods Short Properties

Hershey Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hershey Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hershey Foods Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hershey Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hershey Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.31
Short Percent Of Float1.54%
Float Shares145.24M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.36M
Shares Short Prior Month1.85M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.11M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.44%
Please check Hershey Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hershey Foods Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hershey Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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Is Hershey Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hershey Foods. If investors know Hershey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hershey Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hershey Foods Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hershey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hershey Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hershey Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hershey Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hershey Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hershey Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hershey Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hershey Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.