Genpact Stock Future Price Prediction

G
 Stock
  

USD 47.80  0.51  1.08%   

Genpact stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Genpact shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Genpact's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Genpact and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Genpact's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genpact, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Genpact based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Genpact stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Genpact over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.28
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.68
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.67
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.99
Wall Street Target Price
54.08
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.62
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.1
Using Genpact hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genpact from the perspective of Genpact response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genpact using Genpact's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genpact using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genpact's stock price.
Genpact Current Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Current Ratio was at 1.47. The current year Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.008211, whereas Debt to Equity Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.61.

Genpact Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Genpact's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Genpact. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Genpact stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Genpact may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Genpact and may potentially protect profits, hedge Genpact with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
46.11
Short Percent
0.0124
Short Ratio
1.78
Shares Short Prior Month
2.4 M
50 Day MA
44.39
Shares Short
1.8 M
Beta
1.36

Genpact Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Genpact's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Genpact. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genpact can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genpact. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genpact's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genpact.

Genpact Implied Volatility

    
  43.87  
Genpact's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genpact stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genpact's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genpact stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genpact's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Genpact. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Genpact to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Genpact because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Genpact after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 47.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genpact's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Genpact in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
42.8855.4457.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
44.5746.1547.73
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0056.4362.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.092.112.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genpact. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genpact's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genpact's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Genpact.

Genpact After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Genpact at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genpact or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Genpact, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Genpact Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Genpact's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genpact's historical news coverage. Genpact's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.05 and 49.21, respectively. We have considered Genpact's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 47.80
47.63
After-hype Price
49.21
Upside
Genpact is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genpact is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genpact Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Genpact is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genpact backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genpact, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.21  1.57   0.01    0.14  10 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.8047.630.02 
3,140  

Genpact Hype Timeline

As of August 10, 2022 Genpact is listed for 47.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Genpact is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 47.63. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.02% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Genpact is about 235.74% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 47.66. About 102.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Genpact was currently reported as 10.39. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. Genpact next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 8th of September 2022. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Please check Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Genpact Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Genpact's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genpact's future price movements. Getting to know how Genpact rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genpact may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IBMInternational Business Machines(3.78) 6 per month 0.00 (0.014)  2.09 (2.48)  7.86 
INFYInfosys Limited 0.05 5 per month 1.89  0.0148  3.13 (3.15)  9.19 
FFIEFaraday Future Intelligent(0.02) 5 per month 10.36  0.07  21.18 (16.25)  75.24 
MRKMerck Company(2.56) 9 per month 1.25  0.0376  1.83 (2.50)  6.96 
CATCaterpillar(5.11) 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.82 (4.35)  11.37 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.20) 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.50 (5.97)  17.64 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 3.12 10 per month 0.00 (0.04)  2.17 (2.33)  9.03 
HPQHP Inc 0.66 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  4.02 (4.31)  12.62 
JNJJohnson Johnson 0.64 7 per month 0.00 (0.0381)  1.75 (1.86)  5.07 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.54 9 per month 0.00 (0.0484)  2.73 (1.76)  17.00 

Genpact Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genpact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genpact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genpact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Genpact Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Genpact stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Genpact, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genpact based on analysis of Genpact hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Genpact's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Genpact's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share8.899.6310.1
Asset Turnover0.860.780.82

Story Coverage note for Genpact

The number of cover stories for Genpact depends on current market conditions and Genpact's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genpact is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genpact's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Genpact Short Properties

Genpact's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genpact's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genpact often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genpact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genpact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.95%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.42
Short Percent Of Float1.24%
Float Shares170.42M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day892.18k
Shares Short Prior Month2.43M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.08M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.87%
Please check Genpact Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Genpact information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Genpact's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Is Genpact's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genpact. If investors know Genpact will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genpact listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.28
Market Capitalization
8.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.1
Return On Assets
0.0646
Return On Equity
0.19
The market value of Genpact is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genpact that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genpact's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genpact's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genpact's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genpact's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genpact's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Genpact value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genpact's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.