TechnipFMC Stock Future Price Prediction

FTI
 Stock
  

USD 8.51  0.13  1.55%   

TechnipFMC Plc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of TechnipFMC Plc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of TechnipFMC Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TechnipFMC Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TechnipFMC Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TechnipFMC Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check TechnipFMC Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of TechnipFMC Plc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The TechnipFMC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on TechnipFMC Plc over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.88
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.06
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.18
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.43
Wall Street Target Price
9.24
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.05
Using TechnipFMC Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TechnipFMC Plc from the perspective of TechnipFMC Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TechnipFMC Plc using TechnipFMC Plc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TechnipFMC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TechnipFMC Plc's stock price.
TechnipFMC Plc Inventory Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Inventory Turnover was reported at 4.85. The current Accounts Payable Turnover is estimated to increase to 4.12, while Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to decrease to 0.49.

TechnipFMC Plc Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in TechnipFMC Plc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards TechnipFMC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of TechnipFMC Plc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long TechnipFMC Plc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TechnipFMC Plc and may potentially protect profits, hedge TechnipFMC Plc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.09
Short Percent
0.0538
Short Ratio
2.79
Shares Short Prior Month
19.3 M
50 Day MA
7.15
Shares Short
21.5 M

TechnipFMC Plc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TechnipFMC Plc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in TechnipFMC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TechnipFMC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TechnipFMC Plc. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TechnipFMC Plc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TechnipFMC Plc.

TechnipFMC Plc Implied Volatility

    
  441.14  
TechnipFMC Plc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TechnipFMC Plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TechnipFMC Plc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TechnipFMC Plc stock will not fluctuate a lot when TechnipFMC Plc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in TechnipFMC Plc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TechnipFMC Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TechnipFMC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TechnipFMC Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 8.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TechnipFMC contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TechnipFMC Plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 27.57% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With TechnipFMC Plc trading at $8.51, that is roughly $2.35. If you think that the market is fully incorporating TechnipFMC Plc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TechnipFMC Plc options at the current volatility level of 441.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TechnipFMC Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TechnipFMC Plc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.188.9712.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.338.1311.92
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.1010.0313.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (10)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.17-0.070.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TechnipFMC Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TechnipFMC Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TechnipFMC Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in TechnipFMC Plc.

TechnipFMC Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TechnipFMC Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TechnipFMC Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TechnipFMC Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TechnipFMC Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TechnipFMC Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TechnipFMC Plc's historical news coverage. TechnipFMC Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.71 and 12.29, respectively. We have considered TechnipFMC Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 8.51
8.50
After-hype Price
12.29
Upside
TechnipFMC Plc is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TechnipFMC Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

TechnipFMC Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as TechnipFMC Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TechnipFMC Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TechnipFMC Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.26  3.79  0.01    0.10  6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.518.500.12 
7,580  

TechnipFMC Plc Hype Timeline

On the 18th of August 2022 TechnipFMC Plc is traded for 8.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. TechnipFMC is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 8.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.12% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on TechnipFMC Plc is about 982.59% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.41. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.38 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (208 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 823.9 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please check TechnipFMC Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TechnipFMC Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TechnipFMC Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TechnipFMC Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how TechnipFMC Plc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TechnipFMC Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

TechnipFMC Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TechnipFMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TechnipFMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze TechnipFMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TechnipFMC Plc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TechnipFMC Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TechnipFMC Plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TechnipFMC Plc based on analysis of TechnipFMC Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TechnipFMC Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TechnipFMC Plc's related companies.
 2018 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.40.49
Interest Coverage0.240.28

Story Coverage note for TechnipFMC Plc

The number of cover stories for TechnipFMC Plc depends on current market conditions and TechnipFMC Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TechnipFMC Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TechnipFMC Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TechnipFMC Plc Short Properties

TechnipFMC Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when TechnipFMC Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TechnipFMC Plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TechnipFMC Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TechnipFMC Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date23rd of March 2020
Shares Percent Shares Out4.76%
Short Percent Of Float5.38%
Float Shares447.07M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.09M
Shares Short Prior Month19.33M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.44M
Date Short Interest29th of July 2022
Please check TechnipFMC Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the TechnipFMC Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TechnipFMC Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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Is TechnipFMC Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TechnipFMC Plc. If investors know TechnipFMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TechnipFMC Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.88
Market Capitalization
3.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.029
Return On Assets
0.0084
Return On Equity
-0.0571
The market value of TechnipFMC Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TechnipFMC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TechnipFMC Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TechnipFMC Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TechnipFMC Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TechnipFMC Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TechnipFMC Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine TechnipFMC Plc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TechnipFMC Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.