Farfetch Stock Future Price Prediction

FTCH
 Stock
  

USD 7.27  0.11  1.54%   

Farfetch Ltd Cl stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Farfetch shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Farfetch's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Farfetch and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Farfetch's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Farfetch Ltd Cl, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Farfetch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Farfetch based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Farfetch stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Farfetch over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Current Year
-0.94
EPS Estimate Next Year
-0.88
Wall Street Target Price
20.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.28
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.061
Using Farfetch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farfetch Ltd Cl from the perspective of Farfetch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Farfetch using Farfetch's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Farfetch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Farfetch's stock price.
Farfetch Debt to Equity Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Debt to Equity Ratio was reported at 40.13. The current EBITDA Margin is estimated to increase to 0.86, while Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.62.

Farfetch Implied Volatility

    
  93.31  
Farfetch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Farfetch Ltd Cl stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Farfetch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Farfetch stock will not fluctuate a lot when Farfetch's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Farfetch. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farfetch to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farfetch because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Farfetch after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farfetch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Farfetch in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.4717.8925.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.146.8314.68
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0050.2775.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.56-1.37-1.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farfetch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farfetch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farfetch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Farfetch Ltd Cl.

Farfetch After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Farfetch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farfetch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Farfetch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Farfetch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Farfetch's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farfetch's historical news coverage. Farfetch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.32 and 14.27, respectively. We have considered Farfetch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.27
6.42
After-hype Price
14.27
Upside
Farfetch is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farfetch Ltd Cl is based on 3 months time horizon.

Farfetch Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Farfetch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farfetch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farfetch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.09  7.84  1.77    261.17  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.276.4210.71 
483.95  

Farfetch Hype Timeline

Farfetch Ltd Cl is currently traded for 7.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.77 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -261.17. Farfetch is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 6.42. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -10.71% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.09%. The volatility of related hype on Farfetch is about 3.27% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -253.9. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.08. Farfetch Ltd Cl recorded a loss per share of 7.48. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please check Farfetch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Farfetch Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Farfetch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farfetch's future price movements. Getting to know how Farfetch rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farfetch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2,156) 13 per month 0.00 (0.13)  4.39 (5.60)  18.71 
MMM3M Company(3.71) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0055)  2.17 (2.52)  8.68 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 0.18 9 per month 0.00  0.0349  2.01 (2.17)  6.41 
HDHome Depot 0.45 9 per month 0.00  0.004  2.92 (3.64)  8.63 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 5.67 11 per month 1.29  0.16  2.22 (1.98)  7.82 
PFEPfizer Inc(0.88) 11 per month 1.95  0.10  3.17 (3.16)  8.45 
AXPAmerican Express(2.19) 8 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.46 (3.99)  9.75 
TATT Inc 0.29 8 per month 1.38  0.25  2.99 (2.47)  12.17 
CVXChevron Corp(0.41) 11 per month 0.00  0.0048  3.06 (4.60)  10.25 

Farfetch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Farfetch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farfetch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farfetch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Farfetch Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Farfetch stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farfetch Ltd Cl, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farfetch based on analysis of Farfetch hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farfetch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farfetch's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Farfetch

The number of cover stories for Farfetch depends on current market conditions and Farfetch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farfetch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farfetch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Farfetch Short Properties

Farfetch's future price predictability will typically decrease when Farfetch's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farfetch Ltd Cl often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farfetch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farfetch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.70%
Short Percent Of Float7.18%
Float Shares298.26M
Shares Short Prior Month21.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day10.99M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.6M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check Farfetch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Farfetch Ltd Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Farfetch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Farfetch Ltd Cl price analysis, check to measure Farfetch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farfetch is operating at the current time. Most of Farfetch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farfetch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farfetch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farfetch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farfetch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farfetch. If investors know Farfetch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farfetch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
2.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.061
Return On Assets
-0.0874
Return On Equity
-5.27
The market value of Farfetch Ltd Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farfetch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farfetch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farfetch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farfetch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farfetch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farfetch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Farfetch value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farfetch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.