FREYR Stock Future Price Prediction

FREY
 Stock
  

USD 12.15  1.50  10.99%   

FREYR Battery SA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FREYR Battery shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FREYR Battery's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FREYR Battery and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FREYR Battery's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FREYR Battery SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check FREYR Battery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FREYR Battery based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FREYR stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FREYR Battery over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.32) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.32) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.67) 
Wall Street Target Price
22.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.30) 
Using FREYR Battery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FREYR Battery SA from the perspective of FREYR Battery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FREYR Battery using FREYR Battery's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FREYR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FREYR Battery's stock price.

FREYR Battery Implied Volatility

    
  68.15  
FREYR Battery's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FREYR Battery SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FREYR Battery's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FREYR Battery stock will not fluctuate a lot when FREYR Battery's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FREYR Battery. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FREYR Battery to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FREYR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FREYR Battery after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FREYR contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FREYR Battery SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.26% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With FREYR Battery trading at USD12.15, that is roughly USD0.52. If you think that the market is fully incorporating FREYR Battery's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FREYR Battery SA options at the current volatility level of 68.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FREYR Battery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FREYR Battery in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.4114.2018.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.3312.1216.90
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0016.7420.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.83-0.71-0.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FREYR Battery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FREYR Battery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FREYR Battery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FREYR Battery SA.

FREYR Battery After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FREYR Battery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FREYR Battery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FREYR Battery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FREYR Battery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FREYR Battery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FREYR Battery's historical news coverage. FREYR Battery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.84 and 18.42, respectively. We have considered FREYR Battery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 12.15
13.63
After-hype Price
18.42
Upside
FREYR Battery is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FREYR Battery SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

FREYR Battery Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as FREYR Battery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FREYR Battery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FREYR Battery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.35  5.26  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.1513.630.00 
0.00  

FREYR Battery Hype Timeline

FREYR Battery SA is currently traded for 12.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FREYR forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to FREYR Battery is about 105200.0%. The volatility of related hype on FREYR Battery is about 105200.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.15. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of FREYR Battery was currently reported as 3.52. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.22. FREYR Battery SA had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Please check FREYR Battery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FREYR Battery Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FREYR Battery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FREYR Battery's future price movements. Getting to know how FREYR Battery rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FREYR Battery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FREYR Battery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FREYR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FREYR using various technical indicators. When you analyze FREYR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FREYR Battery Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FREYR Battery stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FREYR Battery SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FREYR Battery based on analysis of FREYR Battery hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FREYR Battery's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FREYR Battery's related companies.

Story Coverage note for FREYR Battery

The number of cover stories for FREYR Battery depends on current market conditions and FREYR Battery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FREYR Battery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FREYR Battery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

FREYR Battery Short Properties

FREYR Battery's future price predictability will typically decrease when FREYR Battery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FREYR Battery SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FREYR Battery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FREYR Battery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75362870.00
Cash And Short Term Investments563956000.00
Please check FREYR Battery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the FREYR Battery SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FREYR Battery's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for FREYR Stock analysis

When running FREYR Battery SA price analysis, check to measure FREYR Battery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FREYR Battery is operating at the current time. Most of FREYR Battery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FREYR Battery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FREYR Battery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FREYR Battery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FREYR Battery's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FREYR Battery. If investors know FREYR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FREYR Battery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Return On Assets
(0.11) 
Return On Equity
(0.31) 
The market value of FREYR Battery SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FREYR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FREYR Battery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FREYR Battery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FREYR Battery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FREYR Battery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FREYR Battery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FREYR Battery value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FREYR Battery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.