CVS Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

CVS
 Stock
  

USD 100.52  2.76  2.82%   

CVS Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CVS Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CVS Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CVS Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CVS Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to CVS Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CVS Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CVS Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Corp over a specific investment horizon.Using CVS Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVS Corp from the perspective of CVS Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CVS Corp using CVS Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CVS Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CVS Corp's stock price.

CVS Corp Implied Volatility

    
  40.51  
CVS Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CVS Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CVS Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CVS Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when CVS Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CVS Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CVS Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CVS Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CVS Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 100.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CVS Corp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CVS Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.53% per day over the life of the 2022-10-07 option contract. With CVS Corp trading at $100.52, that is roughly $2.55. If you think that the market is fully incorporating CVS Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CVS Corp options at the current volatility level of 40.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVS Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CVS Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
90.47114.44115.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
93.7595.2196.67
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
80.00111.00125.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.56100.90108.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CVS Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CVS Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CVS Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CVS Corp.

CVS Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CVS Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVS Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVS Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CVS Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CVS Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVS Corp's historical news coverage. CVS Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.92 and 101.84, respectively. We have considered CVS Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 100.52
100.38
After-hype Price
101.84
Upside
CVS Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

CVS Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as CVS Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVS Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVS Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.13  1.47   0.13   0.27  9 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
100.52100.380.14 
147.00  

CVS Corp Hype Timeline

On the 5th of October CVS Corp is traded for 100.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. CVS Corp is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 100.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 147.0%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.14% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Corp is about 70.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 100.79. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CVS Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.46. The firm last dividend was issued on the 21st of July 2022. CVS Corp had 2:1 split on the 7th of June 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Continue to CVS Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CVS Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVS Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how CVS Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVS Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc 2.10 11 per month 2.37  0.08  4.00 (3.62)  17.42 

CVS Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CVS Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVS Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVS Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CVS Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CVS Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CVS Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CVS Corp based on analysis of CVS Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CVS Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CVS Corp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CVS Corp

The number of cover stories for CVS Corp depends on current market conditions and CVS Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVS Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVS Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CVS Corp Short Properties

CVS Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when CVS Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVS Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVS Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVS Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.06%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.00
Short Percent Of Float1.06%
Float Shares1.31B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.55M
Shares Short Prior Month15.03M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.7M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.06%
Continue to CVS Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running CVS Corp price analysis, check to measure CVS Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVS Corp is operating at the current time. Most of CVS Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVS Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVS Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVS Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CVS Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVS Corp. If investors know CVS Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVS Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of CVS Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVS Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVS Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVS Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVS Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVS Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVS Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CVS Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVS Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.