CNH Industrial Stock Future Price Prediction

CNHI
 Stock
  

USD 11.17  0.06  0.53%   

CNH Industrial NV stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CNH Industrial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CNH Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CNH Industrial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CNH Industrial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CNH Industrial NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to CNH Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CNH Industrial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CNH Industrial stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CNH Industrial over a specific investment horizon.Using CNH Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNH Industrial NV from the perspective of CNH Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNH Industrial using CNH Industrial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNH Industrial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNH Industrial's stock price.

CNH Industrial Implied Volatility

    
  72.27  
CNH Industrial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNH Industrial NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNH Industrial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNH Industrial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNH Industrial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CNH Industrial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNH Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNH Industrial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CNH Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 11.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CNH Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CNH Industrial in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6813.2215.76
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0019.0022.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CNH Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CNH Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CNH Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CNH Industrial NV.

CNH Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CNH Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNH Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNH Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CNH Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CNH Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNH Industrial's historical news coverage. CNH Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.62 and 13.70, respectively. We have considered CNH Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 11.17
11.16
After-hype Price
13.70
Upside
CNH Industrial is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNH Industrial NV is based on 3 months time horizon.

CNH Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as CNH Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNH Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNH Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.04  2.54   0.01    0.11  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.1711.160.09 
1,954  

CNH Industrial Hype Timeline

CNH Industrial NV is currently traded for 11.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. CNH Industrial is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 11.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.09% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on CNH Industrial is about 94.78% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.06. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of CNH Industrial was currently reported as 3.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.12. CNH Industrial NV recorded a loss per share of 0.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Continue to CNH Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CNH Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CNH Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNH Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNH Industrial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNH Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.51  0.07  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

CNH Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CNH Industrial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNH Industrial using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNH Industrial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CNH Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CNH Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNH Industrial NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNH Industrial based on analysis of CNH Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNH Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNH Industrial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for CNH Industrial

The number of cover stories for CNH Industrial depends on current market conditions and CNH Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNH Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNH Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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CNH Industrial Short Properties

CNH Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CNH Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNH Industrial NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNH Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNH Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.93%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.14
Short Percent Of Float1.28%
Float Shares961.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.54M
Shares Short Prior Month13.06M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.43M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.23%
Continue to CNH Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the CNH Industrial NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CNH Industrial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running CNH Industrial NV price analysis, check to measure CNH Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNH Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of CNH Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNH Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNH Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNH Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CNH Industrial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNH Industrial. If investors know CNH Industrial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNH Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of CNH Industrial NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNH Industrial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNH Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNH Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNH Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNH Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNH Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CNH Industrial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNH Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.