CalAmp Stock Future Price Prediction

CAMP
 Stock
  

USD 3.63  0.02  0.55%   

CalAmp Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CalAmp Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CalAmp Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CalAmp Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CalAmp Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CalAmp Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to CalAmp Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CalAmp Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CalAmp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CalAmp Corp over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.02
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.25
Wall Street Target Price
8.94
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.03) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.08) 
Using CalAmp Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CalAmp Corp from the perspective of CalAmp Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CalAmp Corp using CalAmp Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CalAmp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CalAmp Corp's stock price.
CalAmp Corp Revenue to Assets are very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. CalAmp Corp reported last year Revenue to Assets of 0.76. As of 1st of December 2022, Total Assets Per Share is likely to grow to 13.32, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 7.78.

CalAmp Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CalAmp Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CalAmp. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CalAmp Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long CalAmp Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CalAmp Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge CalAmp Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.37
Short Percent
0.0498
Short Ratio
4.42
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
3.76
Shares Short
1.5 M

CalAmp Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CalAmp Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in CalAmp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CalAmp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CalAmp Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CalAmp Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CalAmp Corp.

CalAmp Corp Implied Volatility

    
  27.91  
CalAmp Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CalAmp Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CalAmp Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CalAmp Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when CalAmp Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CalAmp Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CalAmp Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CalAmp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CalAmp Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CalAmp Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CalAmp Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.276.0310.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.083.768.52
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0013.6016.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.3-0.27-0.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CalAmp Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CalAmp Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CalAmp Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CalAmp Corp.

CalAmp Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CalAmp Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CalAmp Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CalAmp Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CalAmp Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CalAmp Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CalAmp Corp's historical news coverage. CalAmp Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 8.50, respectively. We have considered CalAmp Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 3.63
3.74
After-hype Price
8.50
Upside
CalAmp Corp is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CalAmp Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

CalAmp Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as CalAmp Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CalAmp Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CalAmp Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.55  4.75  0.13   0.31  4 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.633.743.60 
2,065  

CalAmp Corp Hype Timeline

CalAmp Corp is currently traded for 3.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. CalAmp is expected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 3.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 3.6% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on CalAmp Corp is about 848.21% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 3.94. The company currently holds 189.7 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days.
Continue to CalAmp Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CalAmp Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CalAmp Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CalAmp Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how CalAmp Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CalAmp Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KOCoca-Cola Co 0.56 4 per month 1.17 (0.0197)  2.06 (1.59)  5.09 

CalAmp Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CalAmp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CalAmp using various technical indicators. When you analyze CalAmp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CalAmp Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CalAmp Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CalAmp Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CalAmp Corp based on analysis of CalAmp Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CalAmp Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CalAmp Corp's related companies.
 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.342.522.0
Interest Coverage1.181.351.39

Story Coverage note for CalAmp Corp

The number of cover stories for CalAmp Corp depends on current market conditions and CalAmp Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CalAmp Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CalAmp Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CalAmp Corp Short Properties

CalAmp Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when CalAmp Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CalAmp Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CalAmp Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CalAmp Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35254000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments79221000.00
Continue to CalAmp Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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Is CalAmp Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CalAmp Corp. If investors know CalAmp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CalAmp Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
133.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.08) 
Return On Assets
(0.0368) 
Return On Equity
(0.70) 
The market value of CalAmp Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CalAmp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CalAmp Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CalAmp Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CalAmp Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CalAmp Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CalAmp Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CalAmp Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CalAmp Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.