Continental Stock Future Price Prediction

CAL
 Stock
  

USD 28.16  1.85  7.03%   

Continental stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Continental shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Continental's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Continental and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Continental's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Caleres, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Continental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Continental based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Continental stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Continental over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
7.25
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.05
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.03
Wall Street Target Price
36.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.83
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Using Continental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caleres from the perspective of Continental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Continental using Continental's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Continental using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Continental's stock price.

Continental Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Continental's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Continental. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Continental stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Continental may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Continental and may potentially protect profits, hedge Continental with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
23.84
Short Percent
0.11
Short Ratio
4.24
Shares Short Prior Month
2.9 M
50 Day MA
27.05
Shares Short
2.7 M
Beta
1.88

Continental Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Continental's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Continental. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Continental can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Caleres. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Continental's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Continental.

Continental Implied Volatility

    
  82.14  
Continental's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Caleres stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Continental's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Continental stock will not fluctuate a lot when Continental's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Continental. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Continental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Continental because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Continental after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 28.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Continental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Continental in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.6430.8736.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.9226.1531.38
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0035.0040.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.034.064.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Continental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Continental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Continental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Continental.

Continental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Continental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Continental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Continental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Continental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Continental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Continental's historical news coverage. Continental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.11 and 33.57, respectively. We have considered Continental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 28.16
28.34
After-hype Price
33.57
Upside
Continental is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Continental is based on 3 months time horizon.

Continental Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Continental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Continental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Continental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.43  5.23  0.18    0.03  7 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.1628.340.64 
1,276  

Continental Hype Timeline

On the 8th of August Continental is traded for 28.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Continental is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 28.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.64% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Continental is about 6724.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 28.13. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.87 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 174.59 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.23 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Continue to Continental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Continental Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Continental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Continental's future price movements. Getting to know how Continental rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Continental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FLFootlocker(0.63) 5 per month 2.94  0.0242  5.48 (5.11)  13.41 
FORDForward Inds 0.02 8 per month 3.28  0.07  6.71 (6.13)  21.82 
BEBEBebe Stores 0.00 9 per month 3.95  0.0165  7.63 (6.54)  37.18 
COLMColumbia Sprtswr 0.13 5 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  3.53 (4.40)  9.80 
RIOTRiot Blockchain(0.15) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0153)  11.85 (10.06)  27.36 
BBBlackberry(0.07) 8 per month 4.10  0.07  7.08 (6.63)  21.56 
AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings 0.05 9 per month 5.49  0.13  14.34 (9.01)  28.66 
BBBYBed Bath Beyond 0.04 7 per month 7.28  0.0133  14.71 (9.94)  33.75 
BCSBarclays Plc ADR(0.09) 6 per month 2.39  0.0468  4.14 (3.86)  10.74 

Continental Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Continental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Continental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Continental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Continental Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Continental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caleres, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Continental based on analysis of Continental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Continental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Continental's related companies.
 2010 2014 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.420.310.99
Interest Coverage4.723.136.65

Story Coverage note for Continental

The number of cover stories for Continental depends on current market conditions and Continental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Continental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Continental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Continental Short Properties

Continental's future price predictability will typically decrease when Continental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caleres often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Continental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Continental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.48%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.28
Short Percent Of Float10.94%
Float Shares34.91M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day577.65k
Shares Short Prior Month2.91M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month756.42k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.06%
Continue to Continental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Continental information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Continental's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Continental price analysis, check to measure Continental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Continental is operating at the current time. Most of Continental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Continental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Continental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Continental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Continental's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Continental. If investors know Continental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Continental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
7.25
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Return On Assets
0.0859
Return On Equity
0.64
The market value of Continental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Continental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Continental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Continental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Continental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Continental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Continental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Continental value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Continental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.