Citigroup Stock Future Price Prediction

C
 Stock
  

USD 45.99  1.11  2.36%   

Citigroup stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Citigroup shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Citigroup's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Citigroup and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Citigroup's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citigroup, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Citigroup based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Citigroup stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Citigroup over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.44
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.77
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.19
Wall Street Target Price
64.11
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.55
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.1
Using Citigroup hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citigroup from the perspective of Citigroup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Citigroup using Citigroup's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Citigroup using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Citigroup's stock price.
Citigroup Calculated Tax Rate is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 19.84. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 0.29, whereas Total Assets Per Share are forecasted to decline to 925.92.

Citigroup Implied Volatility

    
  53.02  
Citigroup's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citigroup stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citigroup's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citigroup stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citigroup's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Citigroup. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citigroup to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citigroup because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Citigroup after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 46.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citigroup's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Citigroup in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
41.3955.4857.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.1848.5050.82
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
66.0082.00120.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (13)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.197.878.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Citigroup. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Citigroup's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Citigroup's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Citigroup.

Citigroup After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Citigroup at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citigroup or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Citigroup, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Citigroup Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Citigroup's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citigroup's historical news coverage. Citigroup's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.70 and 48.34, respectively. We have considered Citigroup's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 45.99
46.02
After-hype Price
48.34
Upside
Citigroup is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citigroup is based on 3 months time horizon.

Citigroup Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Citigroup is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citigroup backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citigroup, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18  2.32  0.03    0.03  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.9946.020.07 
1,657  

Citigroup Hype Timeline

As of July 1, 2022 Citigroup is listed for 45.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Citigroup is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 46.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.07% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Citigroup is about 1210.43% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 45.96. The company reported the annual revenue of 72.76 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 17.17 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 74.99 B. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Citigroup Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Citigroup's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citigroup's future price movements. Getting to know how Citigroup rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citigroup may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Citigroup Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Citigroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citigroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citigroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Citigroup Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Citigroup stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citigroup, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citigroup based on analysis of Citigroup hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citigroup's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citigroup's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents Turnover0.540.350.280.29
Calculated Tax Rate18.5318.5219.8424.06

Story Coverage note for Citigroup

The number of cover stories for Citigroup depends on current market conditions and Citigroup's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citigroup is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citigroup's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Citigroup Short Properties

Citigroup's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citigroup's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citigroup often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citigroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citigroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.46%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.04
Short Percent Of Float2.47%
Float Shares1.94B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day24.52M
Shares Short Prior Month45.29M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month24.82M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.33%
Continue to Citigroup Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Citigroup information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Citigroup's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Citigroup price analysis, check to measure Citigroup's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Citigroup is operating at the current time. Most of Citigroup's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Citigroup's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Citigroup's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Citigroup to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Citigroup's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citigroup. If investors know Citigroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citigroup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.44
Market Capitalization
89.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.1
Return On Assets
0.0078
Return On Equity
0.0915
The market value of Citigroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citigroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citigroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citigroup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citigroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citigroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citigroup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Citigroup value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citigroup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.