Boqii Stock Future Price Prediction

BQ -  USA Stock  

USD 0.28  0.01  3.70%

Boqii Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Boqii Holding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Boqii Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Boqii Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Boqii Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boqii Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Boqii Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Boqii Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Boqii stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Boqii Holding over a specific investment horizon. Using Boqii Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boqii Holding from the perspective of Boqii Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boqii Holding using Boqii Holding's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boqii using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boqii Holding's stock price.
Boqii Holding Book Value per Share is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Boqii Holding reported last year Book Value per Share of 1.06. As of 26th of May 2022, Current Ratio is likely to grow to 3.98, while Earnings per Diluted Share are likely to drop (1.20) .

Boqii Holding Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Boqii Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boqii Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boqii Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boqii Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boqii Holding's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Boqii Holding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boqii Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boqii because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Boqii Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 0.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boqii Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Boqii Holding in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.050.967.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0056330.286.66
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.003.003.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.35-0.35-0.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boqii Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boqii Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boqii Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Boqii Holding.

Boqii Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Boqii Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boqii Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Boqii Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Boqii Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Boqii Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boqii Holding's historical news coverage. Boqii Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.67, respectively. We have considered Boqii Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 0.28
0.29
After-hype Price
6.67
Upside
Boqii Holding is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boqii Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Boqii Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Boqii Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boqii Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boqii Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.96  6.38  0.01   1.38  3 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.280.293.57 
63,800  

Boqii Holding Hype Timeline

As of May 26, 2022 Boqii Holding is listed for 0.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.38. Boqii is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 0.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 3.57% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.96%. The volatility of related hype on Boqii Holding is about 444.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.66. The company reports 444.33 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.1, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 3 days.
Continue to Boqii Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Boqii Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Boqii Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boqii Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Boqii Holding rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boqii Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Boqii Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Boqii price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boqii using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boqii charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Boqii Holding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Boqii Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boqii Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boqii Holding based on analysis of Boqii Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boqii Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boqii Holding's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Boqii Holding

The number of cover stories for Boqii Holding depends on current market conditions and Boqii Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boqii Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boqii Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Boqii Holding Short Properties

Boqii Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boqii Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boqii Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boqii Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boqii Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.81%
Float Shares46.28M
Shares Short Prior Month173.49k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day172.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month300.22k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Continue to Boqii Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Boqii Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Boqii Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Boqii Stock analysis

When running Boqii Holding price analysis, check to measure Boqii Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boqii Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Boqii Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boqii Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boqii Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boqii Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boqii Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boqii Holding. If investors know Boqii will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boqii Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Boqii Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boqii that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boqii Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boqii Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boqii Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boqii Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boqii Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Boqii Holding value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boqii Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.