Banco Stock Future Price Prediction

BMA
 Stock
  

USD 13.10  0.85  6.09%   

Banco Macro SA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Banco Macro shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Banco Macro's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco Macro and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco Macro's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Macro SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Banco Macro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Banco Macro based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Banco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Banco Macro over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.206
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.27
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.54
Wall Street Target Price
23.76
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.59
Using Banco Macro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Macro SA from the perspective of Banco Macro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banco Macro using Banco Macro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banco Macro's stock price.

Banco Macro Implied Volatility

    
  33.16  
Banco Macro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banco Macro SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banco Macro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banco Macro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banco Macro's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Banco Macro. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banco Macro to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Banco Macro after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Macro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Banco Macro in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.5113.2716.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.6914.4517.21
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0012.5015.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.203.203.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Macro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Macro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Macro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Banco Macro SA.

Banco Macro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banco Macro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Macro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco Macro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banco Macro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banco Macro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Macro's historical news coverage. Banco Macro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.45 and 15.97, respectively. We have considered Banco Macro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 13.10
13.21
After-hype Price
15.97
Upside
Banco Macro is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Macro SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banco Macro Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Banco Macro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Macro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Macro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30  2.78   0.10   53.72  5 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.1013.210.75 
868.75  

Banco Macro Hype Timeline

On the 9th of December Banco Macro SA is traded for 13.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 53.72. Banco is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 13.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.75% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Banco Macro is about 1.55% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 66.82. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Macro SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. The firm had 1:5 split on the December 30, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Continue to Banco Macro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Banco Macro Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Macro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Macro's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Macro rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Macro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Banco Macro Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Banco Macro Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Banco Macro stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banco Macro SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banco Macro based on analysis of Banco Macro hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banco Macro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banco Macro's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Banco Macro

The number of cover stories for Banco Macro depends on current market conditions and Banco Macro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Macro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Macro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Banco Macro Short Properties

Banco Macro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco Macro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco Macro SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco Macro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Macro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63900000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments172332578000.00
Continue to Banco Macro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Banco Macro SA price analysis, check to measure Banco Macro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Macro is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Macro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Macro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Macro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Macro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Banco Macro's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Macro. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Macro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.206
Market Capitalization
1.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.817
Return On Assets
0.0212
Return On Equity
0.0896
The market value of Banco Macro SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Macro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Macro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Macro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Macro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Macro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Banco Macro value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Macro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.