Black Stock Future Price Prediction

BKI
 Stock
  

USD 67.14  1.28  1.94%   

Black Knight stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Black Knight shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Black Knight's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Black Knight and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Black Knight's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Black Knight, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Black Knight Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Black Knight based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Black stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Black Knight over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.04
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.66
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.88
Wall Street Target Price
79.43
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.64
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.092
Using Black Knight hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Black Knight from the perspective of Black Knight response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Black Knight using Black Knight's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Black using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Black Knight's stock price.
Black Knight Quick Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Quick Ratio was reported at 1.04. The current Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is estimated to increase to 1.58, while Interest Coverage is projected to decrease to 3.25.

Black Knight Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Black Knight's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Black. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Black Knight stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Black Knight may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Black Knight and may potentially protect profits, hedge Black Knight with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
68.45
Short Percent
0.0223
Short Ratio
4.86
Shares Short Prior Month
3.2 M
50 Day MA
65.24
Shares Short
M
Beta
0.63

Black Knight Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Black Knight's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Black. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Black can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Black Knight. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Black Knight's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Black Knight.

Black Knight Implied Volatility

    
  85.4  
Black Knight's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Black Knight stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Black Knight's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Black Knight stock will not fluctuate a lot when Black Knight's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Black Knight. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Black Knight to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Black because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Black Knight after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 67.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Black contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Black Knight will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.34% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Black Knight trading at $67.14, that is roughly $3.58. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Black Knight's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Black Knight options at the current volatility level of 85.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Black Knight's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Black Knight in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
60.4381.1782.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
66.3567.8069.26
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
85.0095.20107.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.082.112.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Black Knight. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Black Knight's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Black Knight's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Black Knight.

Black Knight After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Black Knight at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Black Knight or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Black Knight, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Black Knight Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Black Knight's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Black Knight's historical news coverage. Black Knight's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.68 and 68.60, respectively. We have considered Black Knight's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 67.14
67.14
After-hype Price
68.60
Upside
Black Knight is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Black Knight is based on 3 months time horizon.

Black Knight Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Black Knight is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Black Knight backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Black Knight, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05  1.46  0.00   0.08  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.1467.140.00 
1,825  

Black Knight Hype Timeline

On the 14th of August 2022 Black Knight is traded for 67.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Black forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Black Knight is about 89.19%. The volatility of related hype on Black Knight is about 89.19% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 67.22. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Black Knight was currently reported as 14.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.21. Black Knight last dividend was issued on the August 14, 2013. The entity had 2:1 split on the February 18, 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Continue to Black Knight Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Black Knight Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Black Knight's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Black Knight's future price movements. Getting to know how Black Knight rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Black Knight may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACIWAci Worldwide 0.76 8 per month 2.38 (0.0189)  3.03 (4.15)  9.58 
ADBEAdobe Systems 10.74 5 per month 2.51  0.06  3.56 (3.49)  13.17 
AKAMAkamai Technologies(2.21) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0491)  2.42 (2.38)  8.97 
ALTRAltair Engineering 0.65 10 per month 2.42  0.0387  4.39 (3.81)  12.37 
APCXAPPTECH CORP 0.26 4 per month 0.00 (0.0213)  20.00 (13.79)  63.01 
APPNAppian Corp Cl 4.66 8 per month 5.72 (0.0119)  9.11 (8.53)  21.92 
AVPTAvepoint Inc Cl 0.18 1 per month 4.09  0.07  5.05 (6.15)  23.45 
BASECouchbase 1.15 6 per month 5.22  0.09  10.62 (9.26)  22.34 
BBBlackberry(0.01) 8 per month 3.80  0.1  7.08 (5.78)  21.56 
BKKTBakkt Hldgs 0.19 8 per month 6.16  0.08  10.58 (8.20)  42.44 

Black Knight Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Black price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Black using various technical indicators. When you analyze Black charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Black Knight Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Black Knight stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Black Knight, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Black Knight based on analysis of Black Knight hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Black Knight's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Black Knight's related companies.
 2016 2017 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.720.810.931.36
Interest Coverage3.444.574.113.25

Story Coverage note for Black Knight

The number of cover stories for Black Knight depends on current market conditions and Black Knight's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Black Knight is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Black Knight's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Black Knight Short Properties

Black Knight's future price predictability will typically decrease when Black Knight's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Black Knight often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Black Knight's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Knight's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.87%
Short Percent Of Float2.16%
Float Shares149.13M
Shares Short Prior Month2.78M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day546.33k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.04M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Black Knight Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Black Knight information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Black Knight's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Black Knight price analysis, check to measure Black Knight's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Black Knight is operating at the current time. Most of Black Knight's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Black Knight's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Black Knight's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Black Knight to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Black Knight's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Black Knight. If investors know Black will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Black Knight listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.04
Market Capitalization
10.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.092
Return On Assets
0.0352
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Black Knight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Black that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Black Knight's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Black Knight's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Black Knight's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Black Knight's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Black Knight's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Black Knight value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Black Knight's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.