Bunge Stock Future Price Prediction

BG
 Stock
  

USD 95.47  2.15  2.30%   

Bunge Limited stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bunge shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bunge's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bunge and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bunge's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bunge Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bunge Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bunge based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bunge stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bunge over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.42) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.96
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.83
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.95
Wall Street Target Price
130.36
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.44
Using Bunge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bunge Limited from the perspective of Bunge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bunge using Bunge's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bunge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bunge's stock price.

Bunge Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Bunge's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bunge. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bunge stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Bunge may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bunge and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bunge with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
101.3462
Short Percent
0.0197
Short Ratio
1.82
Shares Short Prior Month
2.7 M
50 Day MA
94.0956
Shares Short
2.6 M

Bunge Limited Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bunge's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Bunge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bunge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bunge Limited. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bunge's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bunge.

Bunge Implied Volatility

    
  36.32  
Bunge's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bunge Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bunge's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bunge stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bunge's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bunge. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bunge to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bunge because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bunge after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 95.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bunge contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bunge Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.27% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Bunge trading at USD95.47, that is roughly USD2.17. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bunge's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bunge Limited options at the current volatility level of 36.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bunge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bunge in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
95.1097.4099.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
92.1694.4696.76
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
86.00100.50110.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
11.5812.1912.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bunge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bunge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bunge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bunge Limited.

Bunge After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bunge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bunge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bunge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bunge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bunge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bunge's historical news coverage. Bunge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.16 and 97.76, respectively. We have considered Bunge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 95.47
95.46
After-hype Price
97.76
Upside
Bunge is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bunge Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bunge Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bunge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bunge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bunge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.01  2.31  0.00   1.40  6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
95.4795.460.01 
745.16  

Bunge Hype Timeline

As of December 7, 2022 Bunge Limited is listed for 95.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.4. Bunge is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 95.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.01% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Bunge is about 1.65% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 96.87. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bunge Limited has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.82. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of February 2023. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Bunge Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bunge Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bunge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bunge's future price movements. Getting to know how Bunge rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bunge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GEGeneral Electric 0.51 7 per month 1.72  0.09  3.43 (2.68)  9.22 
LULULululemon Athletica(2.16) 10 per month 2.41  0.07  4.68 (4.28)  12.10 
CHUCTrue Drinks Holdings 0.00 0 per month 6.69  0.17  27.27 (13.48)  53.47 
BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway 1,261 7 per month 1.18  0.06  3.19 (2.26)  6.81 
SHOPShopify(0.93) 9 per month 3.80  0.08  10.04 (6.48)  23.43 
HDHome Depot(0.92) 8 per month 1.89  0.0385  2.81 (2.50)  11.25 
PGProcter Gamble(0.12) 9 per month 1.05  0.06  1.83 (2.07)  4.45 
TATT Inc 0.17 9 per month 1.17  0.07  2.54 (2.11)  9.29 
GNWGenworth Financial(0.02) 3 per month 2.00  0.11  3.43 (3.53)  10.99 

Bunge Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bunge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bunge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bunge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bunge Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bunge stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bunge Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bunge based on analysis of Bunge hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bunge's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bunge's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bunge

The number of cover stories for Bunge depends on current market conditions and Bunge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bunge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bunge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bunge Short Properties

Bunge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bunge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bunge Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bunge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bunge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments902000000.00
Continue to Bunge Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bunge Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bunge's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Bunge Limited price analysis, check to measure Bunge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bunge is operating at the current time. Most of Bunge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bunge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bunge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bunge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bunge's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bunge. If investors know Bunge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bunge listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.42) 
Market Capitalization
14 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.187
Return On Assets
0.0645
Return On Equity
0.1765
The market value of Bunge Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bunge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bunge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bunge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bunge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bunge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bunge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bunge value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bunge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.