Bank First Stock Future Price Prediction

BFC -  USA Stock  

USD 77.56  3.18  4.28%

Bank First National stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bank First shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bank First's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bank First and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bank First's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank First National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bank First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bank First based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bank First stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bank First over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.1
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.94
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.6
Wall Street Target Price
84.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.39
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.044
Using Bank First hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank First National from the perspective of Bank First response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bank First Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Asset Turnover was at 0.039. The current year Debt to Equity Ratio is expected to grow to 8.86, whereas Book Value per Share is forecasted to decline to 39.07.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bank First. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank First to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank First after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 77.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bank First in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
69.8082.5983.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
76.3177.5578.79
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
76.0076.0076.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.845.845.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bank First National.

Bank First After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank First at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank First or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Bank First, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Bank First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank First's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank First's historical news coverage. Bank First's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.44 and 78.92, respectively. We have considered Bank First's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 77.56
77.68
After-hype Price
78.92
Upside
Bank First is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank First National is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank First Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bank First is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank First backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank First, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12  1.24  0.12   0.00  9 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.5677.680.15 
126.53  

Bank First Hype Timeline

On the 26th of June Bank First National is traded for 77.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bank First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 77.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 126.53%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.15% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Bank First is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 77.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 109.28 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 43.77 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 110.5 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Bank First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bank First Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank First using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank First Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank First stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank First National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank First based on analysis of Bank First hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank First's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank First's related companies.
 2019 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share32.4939.07
Asset Turnover0.0390.0417

Story Coverage note for Bank First

The number of cover stories for Bank First depends on current market conditions and Bank First's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank First is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank First's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bank First Short Properties

Bank First's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank First's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank First National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date21st of June 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out3.04%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.86
Short Percent Of Float3.32%
Float Shares6.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.34k
Shares Short Prior Month214.82k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.14k
Date Short Interest31st of May 2022
Continue to Bank First Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bank First National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bank First's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Bank First Stock analysis

When running Bank First National price analysis, check to measure Bank First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank First is operating at the current time. Most of Bank First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bank First's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank First. If investors know Bank First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.1
Market Capitalization
583.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.044
Return On Assets
0.0153
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Bank First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bank First value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.