AKA Brands Stock Future Price Prediction

AKA
 Stock
  

USD 2.37  0.09  3.95%   

AKA Brands Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AKA Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AKA Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AKA Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AKA Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AKA Brands Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to AKA Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AKA Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AKA Brands stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AKA Brands over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.5
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.05
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.06
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.15
Wall Street Target Price
4.15
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.01
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.062
Using AKA Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AKA Brands Holding from the perspective of AKA Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AKA Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AKA Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AKA Brands because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AKA Brands after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AKA Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AKA Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.285.5212.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.739.60
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0015.3822.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.10.000.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AKA Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AKA Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AKA Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AKA Brands Holding.

AKA Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AKA Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AKA Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of AKA Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AKA Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AKA Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AKA Brands' historical news coverage. AKA Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 9.16, respectively. We have considered AKA Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.37
2.29
After-hype Price
9.16
Upside
AKA Brands is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AKA Brands Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

AKA Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as AKA Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AKA Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AKA Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41  6.87  0.01   0.31  3 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.372.290.44 
34,350  

AKA Brands Hype Timeline

On the 15th of August 2022 AKA Brands Holding is traded for 2.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. AKA Brands is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 2.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.44% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on AKA Brands is about 916.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.68. The company reported the last year's revenue of 641.73 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.92 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 323.57 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 3 days.
Please continue to AKA Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AKA Brands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AKA Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AKA Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how AKA Brands rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AKA Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BABAAlibaba Group Holding(5.89) 8 per month 4.33  0.0423  6.81 (8.13)  25.90 
PGProcter Gamble 0.17 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.29 (2.67)  9.21 
HDHome Depot 3.85 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.29 (2.48)  7.12 
CVXChevron Corp(0.67) 4 per month 2.34 (0.0222)  3.06 (4.35)  11.62 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp(1.14) 10 per month 2.02  0.0309  2.97 (4.10)  7.83 
BABoeing Company 10.29 8 per month 2.52  0.10  6.45 (4.95)  16.31 
TATT Inc(0.36) 1 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.69 (1.63)  7.50 
VZVerizon Communications(0.64) 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.79 (2.43)  10.04 
KOCoca-Cola 1.14 4 per month 1.66 (0.0472)  1.87 (1.96)  8.84 

AKA Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AKA Brands price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AKA Brands using various technical indicators. When you analyze AKA Brands charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AKA Brands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AKA Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AKA Brands Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AKA Brands based on analysis of AKA Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AKA Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AKA Brands's related companies.
 2010 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share1.674.844.18
Asset Turnover1.291.281.22

Story Coverage note for AKA Brands

The number of cover stories for AKA Brands depends on current market conditions and AKA Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AKA Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AKA Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AKA Brands Short Properties

AKA Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when AKA Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AKA Brands Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AKA Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AKA Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.66%
Short Percent Of Float7.62%
Float Shares15.89M
Shares Short Prior Month639.15k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day184.96k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month196.68k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please continue to AKA Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the AKA Brands Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AKA Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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Is AKA Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AKA Brands. If investors know AKA Brands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AKA Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.5
Market Capitalization
293.4 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.062
Return On Assets
0.0259
Return On Equity
-0.0325
The market value of AKA Brands Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AKA Brands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AKA Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AKA Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AKA Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AKA Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AKA Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AKA Brands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AKA Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.