COSCO SHIPPING (China) Future Price Prediction

601919
  

CNY 12.43  0.19  1.55%   

COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of COSCO SHIPPING shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of COSCO SHIPPING's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of COSCO SHIPPING and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from COSCO SHIPPING's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to COSCO SHIPPING Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of COSCO SHIPPING based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The COSCO stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on COSCO SHIPPING over a specific investment horizon.Using COSCO SHIPPING hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS from the perspective of COSCO SHIPPING response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in COSCO SHIPPING. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in COSCO SHIPPING to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying COSCO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

COSCO SHIPPING after-hype prediction price

    
  Y 12.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of COSCO SHIPPING's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of COSCO SHIPPING in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.5011.3213.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.3312.1613.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2811.8712.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COSCO SHIPPING. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COSCO SHIPPING's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COSCO SHIPPING's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS.

COSCO SHIPPING After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of COSCO SHIPPING at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in COSCO SHIPPING or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of COSCO SHIPPING, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

COSCO SHIPPING Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting COSCO SHIPPING's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on COSCO SHIPPING's historical news coverage. COSCO SHIPPING's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.61 and 14.25, respectively. We have considered COSCO SHIPPING's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 12.43
12.43
After-hype Price
14.25
Upside
COSCO SHIPPING is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS is based on 3 months time horizon.

COSCO SHIPPING Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as COSCO SHIPPING is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading COSCO SHIPPING backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with COSCO SHIPPING, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19  1.78  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.4312.430.00 
0.00  

COSCO SHIPPING Hype Timeline

COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS is presently traded for 12.43on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. COSCO estimated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis estimated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.19%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to COSCO SHIPPING is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on COSCO SHIPPING is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.43. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of COSCO SHIPPING was presently reported as 4.85. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.04. COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2022. The entity had 1.00 - 1.00 split on the 14th of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Please continue to COSCO SHIPPING Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

COSCO SHIPPING Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to COSCO SHIPPING's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict COSCO SHIPPING's future price movements. Getting to know how COSCO SHIPPING rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how COSCO SHIPPING may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002460GANFENG LITHIUM CO 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.27 (4.30)  15.87 
000625CHONG QING CHANGAN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21)  5.09 (5.41)  16.11 
200625CHONG QING CHANGAN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21)  4.01 (4.40)  10.91 
000039CHINA INTL MARINE 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.53 (4.01)  8.43 
002648ZHEJIANG SATELLITE 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0458)  6.86 (5.61)  16.44 
603501WILL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  6.05 (5.47)  14.35 
002966BANK OF SUZHOU 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.14  2.75 (2.22)  8.16 
300015AIER EYE HOSPITAL 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06)  6.04 (5.23)  24.98 
601101BEIJING HAOHUA ENERGY 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0145)  5.45 (4.58)  14.02 
002049UNIGROUP GUOXIN MI 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.20 (4.22)  13.31 

COSCO SHIPPING Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine COSCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for COSCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze COSCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About COSCO SHIPPING Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of COSCO SHIPPING stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of COSCO SHIPPING based on analysis of COSCO SHIPPING hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to COSCO SHIPPING's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to COSCO SHIPPING's related companies.

Story Coverage note for COSCO SHIPPING

The number of cover stories for COSCO SHIPPING depends on current market conditions and COSCO SHIPPING's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that COSCO SHIPPING is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about COSCO SHIPPING's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

COSCO SHIPPING Short Properties

COSCO SHIPPING's future price predictability will typically decrease when COSCO SHIPPING's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential COSCO SHIPPING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COSCO SHIPPING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares7.93B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day89.18M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month105.79M
Please continue to COSCO SHIPPING Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS price analysis, check to measure COSCO SHIPPING's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COSCO SHIPPING is operating at the current time. Most of COSCO SHIPPING's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COSCO SHIPPING's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COSCO SHIPPING's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COSCO SHIPPING to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between COSCO SHIPPING's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine COSCO SHIPPING value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, COSCO SHIPPING's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.