Norwegian Stock Performance

NCLH
 Stock
  

USD 11.64  1.12  8.78%   

The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.5525, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Norwegian's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Norwegian Cruise will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Norwegian Cruise Ord price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Norwegian Cruise exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Norwegian Cruise Ord has an expected return of -0.72%. Please be advised to verify Norwegian Cruise Ord expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power to decide if Norwegian Cruise Ord performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
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Norwegian Performance
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Over the last 90 days Norwegian Cruise Ord has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in July 2022. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more

Norwegian Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.64
Fifty Two Week Low10.31
Target High Price35.00
Fifty Two Week High30.75
Target Low Price14.00

Norwegian Cruise Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,188  in Norwegian Cruise Ord on March 31, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (912.00)  from holding Norwegian Cruise Ord or give up 41.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Norwegian Cruise Ord is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.4408% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 47% of stocks are less volatile than Norwegian, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Norwegian Cruise is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.12 per unit of volatility.

Norwegian Cruise Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Norwegian Cruise's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Norwegian Cruise Ord, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Norwegian Cruise's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1323

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Negative ReturnsNCLH
Estimated Market Risk
 5.44
  actual daily
 
 47 %
of total potential
 
4747
Expected Return
 -0.72
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 0 %
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Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.13
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 0 %
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Based on monthly moving average Norwegian Cruise is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Norwegian Cruise by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Norwegian Cruise Performance

To evaluate Norwegian Cruise Ord Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Norwegian Cruise generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Norwegian Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Norwegian Cruise Ord stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Norwegian's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is based in Miami, Florida. Norwegian Cruise operates under Travel Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 34700 people.

Things to note about Norwegian Cruise Ord

Checking the ongoing alerts about Norwegian Cruise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Norwegian Cruise Ord help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Norwegian Cruise Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Norwegian Cruise Ord generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Norwegian Cruise Ord has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Norwegian Cruise Ord has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 14.28 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 9.47, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Norwegian Cruise Ord has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Norwegian Cruise until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Norwegian Cruise's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Norwegian Cruise Ord sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Norwegian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Norwegian Cruise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.12 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (960.05 M).
Norwegian Cruise Ord currently holds about 2.14 B in cash with (1.99 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.1.
Roughly 56.0% of Norwegian Cruise shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.royalcaribbeanblog.com: Flight attendant shares 20 tips to minimize air travel fiascos - Royal Caribbean Blog
Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Norwegian Cruise Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Norwegian Cruise's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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When running Norwegian Cruise Ord price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Cruise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Cruise is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Cruise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Cruise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Cruise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Norwegian Cruise's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Norwegian Cruise value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.