Murphy Stock Performance

MUSA
 Stock
  

USD 292.40  3.60  1.25%   

The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.6587, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Murphy's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Murphy USA returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Murphy USA will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Murphy USA price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Murphy USA exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Murphy USA has an expected return of -0.0184%. Please be advised to verify Murphy USA variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Murphy USA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
Murphy Performance
0 of 100
Over the last 90 days Murphy USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Murphy USA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.0048
Payout Ratio
0.0468
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2022-12-01
Ex Dividend Date
2022-11-07

Murphy Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.60
Fifty Two Week Low164.30
Target High Price315.00
Fifty Two Week High323.00
Payout Ratio5.23%
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.17%
Target Low Price228.00

Murphy USA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  29,949  in Murphy USA on August 28, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (709.00)  from holding Murphy USA or give up 2.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Murphy USA is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.9703% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Murphy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Murphy USA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Murphy USA Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Murphy USA's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Murphy USA, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Murphy USA's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0094

Best
Portfolio
Best
Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall
Risk
Average
Risk
High
Risk
Huge
Risk
Negative ReturnsMUSA
Estimated Market Risk
 1.97
  actual daily
 
 17 %
of total potential
 
1717
Expected Return
 -0.02
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.01
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Based on monthly moving average Murphy USA is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Murphy USA by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Murphy USA Performance

To evaluate Murphy USA Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Murphy USA generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Murphy Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Murphy USA market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Murphy's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 27.40  23.69 
Return on Average Assets 11.79  10.42 
Return on Average Equity 49.88  53.82 
Return on Invested Capital 0.13  0.13 
Return on Sales 0.035  0.0332 

Things to note about Murphy USA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Murphy USA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Murphy USA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Murphy USA Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Murphy USA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Murphy USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Murphy USA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: BMY 4 Stocks That Could Fetch You High Returns in 2023 - StockNews.com
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Murphy USA price analysis, check to measure Murphy USA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy USA is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy USA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy USA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy USA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy USA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Is Murphy USA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murphy USA. If investors know Murphy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Murphy USA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.33
Market Capitalization
6.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.38
Return On Assets
0.14
Return On Equity
0.83
The market value of Murphy USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Murphy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Murphy USA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Murphy USA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Murphy USA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Murphy USA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Murphy USA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Murphy USA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Murphy USA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.