Harley Stock Performance

HOG -  USA Stock  

USD 38.40  1.79  4.89%

The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.8206, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Harley's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Harley Davidson will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Harley-Davidson current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Harley-Davidson exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Harley-Davidson has an expected return of -0.13%. Please be advised to check out Harley Davidson semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution to decide if Harley-Davidson performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
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Harley Performance
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Over the last 90 days Harley-Davidson has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Harley Price Channel

Quick Ratio1.13
Fifty Two Week Low32.13
Target High Price70.00
Fifty Two Week High52.06
Payout Ratio13.70%
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.27%
Target Low Price39.00

Harley Davidson Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,212  in Harley-Davidson on February 16, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (438.00)  from holding Harley-Davidson or give up 10.4% of portfolio value over 90 days. Harley-Davidson is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.1149% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Harley, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Harley Davidson is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of volatility.

Harley Davidson Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harley Davidson's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Harley-Davidson, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Harley Davidson's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0404

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Negative ReturnsHOG
Estimated Market Risk
 3.11
  actual daily
 
 26 %
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2626
Expected Return
 -0.13
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 0 %
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Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.04
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Based on monthly moving average Harley Davidson is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Harley Davidson by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Harley Davidson Performance

To evaluate Harley-Davidson Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Harley Davidson generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Harley Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Harley-Davidson stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Harley's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash-15.3 M-15.7 M
Return on Investment 0.11  0.11 
Return on Average Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return on Average Equity 0.29  0.26 
Return on Invested Capital 0.07  0.07 
Return on Sales 0.16  0.15 
Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Harley Davidson operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5150 people.

Things to note about Harley-Davidson

Checking the ongoing alerts about Harley Davidson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harley-Davidson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Harley Davidson Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Harley-Davidson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Harley-Davidson has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Harley-Davidson was previously known as HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol HDI.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: An Intrinsic Calculation For Harley-Davidson, Inc. Suggests Its 30 percent Undervalued - Simply Wall St
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Harley-Davidson information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Harley Davidson's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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When running Harley-Davidson price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Harley Davidson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Harley-Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Harley Davidson value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.