Correlation Between Merchants Bancorp and Bank First

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merchants Bancorp and Bank First at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merchants Bancorp and Bank First into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merchants Bancorp and Bank First National, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merchants Bancorp and Bank First and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merchants Bancorp with a short position of Bank First. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merchants Bancorp and Bank First.

Diversification Opportunities for Merchants Bancorp and Bank First

-0.08
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Merchants and Bank First is -0.08. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merchants Bancorp and Bank First National in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bank First National and Merchants Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merchants Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Bank First. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bank First National has no effect on the direction of Merchants Bancorp i.e., Merchants Bancorp and Bank First go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merchants Bancorp and Bank First

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Merchants Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Bank First. In addition to that, Merchants Bancorp is 1.65 times more volatile than Bank First National. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Bank First National is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  7,127  in Bank First National on April 4, 2022 and sell it today you would earn a total of  545.00  from holding Bank First National or generate 7.65% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Merchants Bancorp  vs.  Bank First National

 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 
Merchants Bancorp 
Merchants Performance
0 of 100
Over the last 90 days Merchants Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in August 2022. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.0121
Payout Ratio
0.0467
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
0.28
Dividend Date
2022-07-01
Ex Dividend Date
2022-06-14
Last Split Date
2022-01-18

Merchants Price Channel

Bank First National 
Bank First Performance
6 of 100
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bank First National are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Bank First may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2022.

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.0115
Payout Ratio
0.2
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
0.88
Dividend Date
2022-07-06
Ex Dividend Date
2022-06-21
Last Split Date
2002-10-21

Bank First Price Channel

Merchants Bancorp and Bank First Volatility Contrast

 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 

Pair Trading with Merchants Bancorp and Bank First

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merchants Bancorp and Bank First positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merchants Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Bank First can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank First will offset losses from the drop in Bank First's long position.
The idea behind Merchants Bancorp and Bank First National pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center. Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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