National Vision Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

EYE -  USA Stock  

USD 26.90  0.09  0.33%

National Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast National Vision historical stock prices and determine the direction of National Vision Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of National Vision historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although National Vision naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of National Vision Holdings systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of National Vision fundamentals over time.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Vision to cross-verify your projections.
  
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The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.88. As of May 23, 2022, Weighted Average Shares is expected to decline to about 72.6 M. In addition to that, Weighted Average Shares Diluted is expected to decline to about 80.6 M.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-06-17 National Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast National Vision's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest National Vision's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies National Vision stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current National Vision's open interest, investors have to compare it to National Vision's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of National Vision is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in National. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
On October 4, 2021 National Vision Holdings had Accumulation Distribution of 13017.85.
Most investors in National Vision cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the National Vision's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets National Vision's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which National Vision is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of National Vision Holdings to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by National Vision trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
  Previous Accumulation DistributionAccumulation DistributionTrend
24792.5713017.85
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National Vision Trading Date Momentum

On October 05 2021 National Vision Holdings was traded for  57.07  at the closing time. Highest National Vision's price during the trading hours was 57.74  and the lowest price during the day was  55.66 . The net volume was 489.3 K. The overall trading history on the 5th of October contributed to the next trading period price growth. The overall trading delta to the next next day price was 1.93% . The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.88% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
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Other Forecasting Options for National Vision

For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Vision's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Vision's price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Vision stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Vision could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Vision by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

National Vision Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of National Vision's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of National Vision's current price.

National Vision Risk Indicators

The analysis of National Vision's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Vision's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting National Vision stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

National Vision Investors Sentiment

The influence of National Vision's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in National. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

National Vision Implied Volatility

    
  135.37  
National Vision's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Vision Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Vision's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Vision stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Vision's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards National Vision in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, National Vision's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from National Vision options trading.

Current Sentiment - EYE

National Vision Holdings Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on National Vision Holdings. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in National Vision Holdings? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with National Vision

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if National Vision position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Vision will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

National Vision Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to National Vision could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace National Vision when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back National Vision - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling National Vision Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of National Vision is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as National Vision moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if National Vision Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for National Vision can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Vision to cross-verify your projections. Note that the National Vision Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Vision's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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When running National Vision Holdings price analysis, check to measure National Vision's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Vision is operating at the current time. Most of National Vision's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Vision's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Vision's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Vision to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Vision's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Vision. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Vision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of National Vision Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Vision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Vision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Vision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Vision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Vision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine National Vision value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Vision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.