Big Lots Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

BIG -  USA Stock  

USD 23.18  1.52  7.02%

Big Lots Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Big Lots historical stock prices and determine the direction of Big Lots's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Big Lots historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Big Lots naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Big Lots systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Big Lots fundamentals over time.
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Big Lots to cross-verify your projections.
  
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Big Lots Inventory Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Inventory Turnover was at 3.55. The current year Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to grow to 16.09, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is forecasted to decline to 76.04. . Big Lots Weighted Average Shares Diluted is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares Diluted was at 55.55 Million.

Open Interest Agains t 2022-07-15 Big Lots Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Big Lots' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Big Lots' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Big Lots stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Big Lots' open interest, investors have to compare it to Big Lots' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Big Lots is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Big Lots. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
On March 1, 2022 Big Lots had Accumulation Distribution of 63865.38.
Most investors in Big Lots cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Big Lots' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Big Lots' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Big Lots is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Big Lots to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Big Lots trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.

Big Lots Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Big Lots' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Big Lots. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Big Lots can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Big Lots. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Big Lots' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Big Lots' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Big Lots' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Big Lots.
  Previous Accumulation DistributionAccumulation DistributionTrend
38385.563865.38
Check Big Lots VolatilityBacktest Big LotsTrend Details  

Big Lots Trading Date Momentum

On March 02 2022 Big Lots was traded for  37.00  at the closing time. Highest Big Lots's price during the trading hours was 37.84  and the lowest price during the day was  33.50 . The net volume was 2.4 M. The overall trading history on the 2nd of March contributed to the next trading period price growth. The overall trading delta to the next next day price was 8.95% . The overall trading delta to current price is 10.37% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
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Other Forecasting Options for Big Lots

For every potential investor in Big Lots, whether a beginner or expert, Big Lots' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Big Lots Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Big Lots. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Big Lots' price trends.

View Currently Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Big Lots stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Big Lots could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Big Lots by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Big Lots Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Big Lots' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Big Lots' current price.

Big Lots Risk Indicators

The analysis of Big Lots' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Big Lots' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Big Lots stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Big Lots without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Big Lots

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Big Lots position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Big Lots will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Big Lots Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Big Lots could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Big Lots when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Big Lots - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Big Lots to buy it.
The correlation of Big Lots is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Big Lots moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Big Lots moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Big Lots can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Historical Fundamental Analysis of Big Lots to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Big Lots information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Big Lots' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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When running Big Lots price analysis, check to measure Big Lots' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big Lots is operating at the current time. Most of Big Lots' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big Lots' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big Lots' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big Lots to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Big Lots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big Lots. If investors know Big Lots will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big Lots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.37
Market Capitalization
670.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Return On Assets
0.017
Return On Equity
0.0642
The market value of Big Lots is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big Lots that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big Lots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big Lots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big Lots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big Lots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big Lots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Big Lots value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big Lots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.